System dynamics and hydrodynamic modelling approaches for spatial and temporal analysis of flood risk
Type de ressource
Auteurs/contributeurs
- Ahmad, Shohan S. (Auteur)
- Simonovic, Slobodan P. (Auteur)
Titre
System dynamics and hydrodynamic modelling approaches for spatial and temporal analysis of flood risk
Résumé
ABSTRACTTwo modelling approaches are presented in this article for spatial and temporal analysis of water resources risk. Major sources of uncertainty in water resources management are spatial and temporal variability. Spatial variability occurs when values fluctuate with the location of an area and temporal variability occurs when values fluctuate with time. System dynamics (SD) simulation and hydrodynamic modelling are presented in this article as tools for modelling the dynamic characteristics of flood risk and its spatial variability. The first modelling framework presents SD simulation coupled with 3D fuzzy set theory. Whereas the second modelling framework presents hydrodynamic modelling coupled with 3D fuzzy set theory. The two integrated modelling frameworks are illustrated and compared using the Red River flood of 1997 (Manitoba, Canada) as a case study. For the 1997 Red River case study, SD simulation proved to be efficient modelling approach for capturing the feedback-based dynamic processes oc...
Publication
International Journal of River Basin Management
Volume
13
Numéro
4
Date
2015-03-20
Extra
DOI: 10.1080/15715124.2015.1016954
MAG ID: 2016158611
Référence
Ahmad, S. S., & Simonovic, S. P. (2015). System dynamics and hydrodynamic modelling approaches for spatial and temporal analysis of flood risk. International Journal of River Basin Management, 13(4). https://doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2015.1016954
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