Bibliographie complète
Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years
Type de ressource
Auteurs/contributeurs
- Troin, Magali (Auteur)
- Arsenault, Richard (Auteur)
- Wood, Andrew W. (Auteur)
- Brissette, François (Auteur)
- Martel, Jean‐Luc (Auteur)
Titre
Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years
Résumé
Abstract
Ensemble forecasting applied to the field of hydrology is currently an established area of research embracing a broad spectrum of operational situations. This work catalogs the various pathways of ensemble streamflow forecasting based on an exhaustive review of more than 700 studies over the last 40 years. We focus on the advanced state of the art in the model‐based (dynamical) ensemble forecasting approaches. Ensemble streamflow prediction systems are categorized into three leading classes: statistics‐based streamflow prediction systems, climatology‐based ensemble streamflow prediction systems and numerical weather prediction‐based hydrological ensemble prediction systems. For each ensemble approach, technical information, as well as details about its strengths and weaknesses, are provided based on a critical review of the studies listed. Through this literature review, the performance and uncertainty associated with the ensemble forecasting systems are underlined from both operational and scientific viewpoints. Finally, the remaining key challenges and prospective future research directions are presented, notably through hybrid dynamical ‐ statistical learning approaches, which obviously present new challenges to be overcome in order to allow the successful employment of ensemble streamflow forecasting systems in the next decades. Targeting students, researchers and practitioners, this review provides a detailed perspective on the major features of an increasingly important area of hydrological forecasting.
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Key Points
This work summarizes the 40 years of research in the generation of streamflow forecasts based on an exhaustive review of studies
Ensemble prediction systems are categorized into three classes: statistics‐based, climatology‐based and numerical weather prediction‐based hydrological ensemble prediction systems
For each ensemble forecasting system, thorough technical information is provided
Publication
Water Resources Research
Volume
57
Numéro
7
Date
07/2021
Abrév. de revue
Water Resources Research
Langue
en
ISSN
0043-1397, 1944-7973
Titre abrégé
Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts
Consulté le
2024-06-16 00 h 23
Catalogue de bibl.
DOI.org (Crossref)
Référence
Troin, M., Arsenault, R., Wood, A. W., Brissette, F., & Martel, J. (2021). Generating Ensemble Streamflow Forecasts: A Review of Methods and Approaches Over the Past 40 Years. Water Resources Research, 57(7). https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028392
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