UQAM logo
Page d'accueil de l'UQAM Étudier à l'UQAM Bottin du personnel Carte du campus Bibliothèques Pour nous joindre

Service des bibliothèques

Veille bibliographique sur les inondations
UQAM logo
Veille bibliographique sur les inondations
  • Bibliography
  1. Vitrine des bibliographies
  2. Veille bibliographique sur les inondations
  3. Projections of extreme rainfall and floods in Mediterranean basins from an ensemble of convection-permitting models
Veille bibliographique sur les inondationsVeille bibliographique sur les inondations
  • Bibliography

Bibliographie complète

Retourner à la liste des résultats
  • 1
  • ...
  • 54
  • 55
  • 56
  • 57
  • 58
  • ...
  • 1 566
  • Page 56 de 1 566

Projections of extreme rainfall and floods in Mediterranean basins from an ensemble of convection-permitting models

RIS

Format recommandé pour la plupart des logiciels de gestion de références bibliographiques

BibTeX

Format recommandé pour les logiciels spécialement conçus pour BibTeX

Type de ressource
Article de revue
Auteurs/contributeurs
  • Poncet, Nils (Auteur)
  • Tramblay, Yves (Auteur)
  • Lucas-Picher, Philippe (Auteur)
  • Thirel, Guillaume (Auteur)
  • Caillaud, Cécile (Auteur)
Titre
Projections of extreme rainfall and floods in Mediterranean basins from an ensemble of convection-permitting models
Résumé
Floods have major impacts on the Mediterranean region, but little is currently known about their potential evolution in the context of climate change. This is due in particular to the limited ability of climate models to reproduce extreme meteorological events such as heavy rains that lead to flash floods, especially at the local scale over smaller basins. This study is the first to explore future flood scenarios over 12 Mediterranean basins using an ensemble of 12 high-resolution convection-permitting climate models and the GR5H hourly rainfall-runoff model. The results indicate an overall increase in flood intensity across all basins, particularly for the most severe events, but also a strong spatial variability in the change signal depending on the geographic location. There is good agreement among the convection-permitting climate models on an increase in hourly and daily rainfall extremes in the Mediterranean, but these changes are not strongly correlated with changes in flood-peak intensity, indicating that change in rainfall intensity alone is a poor predictor of future flood hazards. At present, this type of analysis is hampered by the short duration of the available high-resolution climate simulations. Longer timeseries would be required to better assess the robustness of the projected changes against climate variability.
Publication
Climatic Change
Volume
178
Numéro
8
Pages
141
Date
2025-07-16
Abrév. de revue
Climatic Change
Langue
en
DOI
10.1007/s10584-025-03983-8
ISSN
1573-1480
URL
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-025-03983-8
Consulté le
2025-09-05 00 h 12
Catalogue de bibl.
Springer Link
Référence
Poncet, N., Tramblay, Y., Lucas-Picher, P., Thirel, G., & Caillaud, C. (2025). Projections of extreme rainfall and floods in Mediterranean basins from an ensemble of convection-permitting models. Climatic Change, 178(8), 141. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-025-03983-8
Lien vers cette notice
https://bibliographies.uqam.ca/riisq/bibliographie/I64PZQUC
  • 1
  • ...
  • 54
  • 55
  • 56
  • 57
  • 58
  • ...
  • 1 566
  • Page 56 de 1 566

UQAM - Université du Québec à Montréal

  • Veille bibliographique sur les inondations
  • bibliotheques@uqam.ca

Accessibilité Web