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L’interface de recherche est composée de trois sections : Rechercher, Explorer et Résultats. Celles-ci sont décrites en détail ci-dessous.

Vous pouvez lancer une recherche aussi bien à partir de la section Rechercher qu’à partir de la section Explorer.

Rechercher

Cette section affiche vos critères de recherche courants et vous permet de soumettre des mots-clés à chercher dans la bibliographie.

  • Chaque nouvelle soumission ajoute les mots-clés saisis à la liste des critères de recherche.
  • Pour lancer une nouvelle recherche plutôt qu’ajouter des mots-clés à la recherche courante, utilisez le bouton Réinitialiser la recherche, puis entrez vos mots-clés.
  • Pour remplacer un mot-clé déjà soumis, veuillez d’abord le retirer en décochant sa case à cocher, puis soumettre un nouveau mot-clé.
  • Vous pouvez contrôler la portée de votre recherche en choisissant où chercher. Les options sont :
    • Partout : repère vos mots-clés dans tous les champs des références bibliographiques ainsi que dans le contenu textuel des documents disponibles.
    • Dans les auteurs ou contributeurs : repère vos mots-clés dans les noms d’auteurs ou de contributeurs.
    • Dans les titres : repère vos mots-clés dans les titres.
    • Dans les années de publication : repère vos mots-clés dans le champ d’année de publication (vous pouvez utiliser l’opérateur OU avec vos mots-clés pour trouver des références ayant différentes années de publication. Par exemple, 2020 OU 2021).
    • Dans tous les champs : repère vos mots-clés dans tous les champs des notices bibliographiques.
    • Dans les documents : repère vos mots-clés dans le contenu textuel des documents disponibles.
  • Vous pouvez utiliser les opérateurs booléens avec vos mots-clés :
    • ET : repère les références qui contiennent tous les termes fournis. Ceci est la relation par défaut entre les termes séparés d’un espace. Par exemple, a b est équivalent à a ET b.
    • OU : repère les références qui contiennent n’importe lequel des termes fournis. Par exemple, a OU b.
    • SAUF : exclut les références qui contiennent le terme fourni. Par exemple, SAUF a.
    • Les opérateurs booléens doivent être saisis en MAJUSCULES.
  • Vous pouvez faire des groupements logiques (avec les parenthèses) pour éviter les ambiguïtés lors de la combinaison de plusieurs opérateurs booléens. Par exemple, (a OU b) ET c.
  • Vous pouvez demander une séquence exacte de mots (avec les guillemets droits), par exemple "a b c". Par défaut la différence entre les positions des mots est de 1, ce qui signifie qu’une référence sera repérée si elle contient les mots et qu’ils sont consécutifs. Une distance maximale différente peut être fournie (avec le tilde), par exemple "a b"~2 permet jusqu’à un terme entre a et b, ce qui signifie que la séquence a c b pourrait être repérée aussi bien que a b.
  • Vous pouvez préciser que certains termes sont plus importants que d’autres (avec l’accent circonflexe). Par exemple, a^2 b c^0.5 indique que a est deux fois plus important que b dans le calcul de pertinence des résultats, tandis que c est de moitié moins important. Ce type de facteur peut être appliqué à un groupement logique, par exemple (a b)^3 c.
  • La recherche par mots-clés est insensible à la casse et les accents et la ponctuation sont ignorés.
  • Les terminaisons des mots sont amputées pour la plupart des champs, tels le titre, le résumé et les notes. L’amputation des terminaisons vous évite d’avoir à prévoir toutes les formes possibles d’un mot dans vos recherches. Ainsi, les termes municipal, municipale et municipaux, par exemple, donneront tous le même résultat. L’amputation des terminaisons n’est pas appliquée au texte des champs de noms, tels auteurs/contributeurs, éditeur, publication.

Explorer

Cette section vous permet d’explorer les catégories associées aux références.

  • Les catégories peuvent servir à affiner votre recherche. Cochez une catégorie pour l’ajouter à vos critères de recherche. Les résultats seront alors restreints aux références qui sont associées à cette catégorie.
  • Dé-cochez une catégorie pour la retirer de vos critères de recherche et élargir votre recherche.
  • Les nombres affichés à côté des catégories indiquent combien de références sont associées à chaque catégorie considérant les résultats de recherche courants. Ces nombres varieront en fonction de vos critères de recherche, de manière à toujours décrire le jeu de résultats courant. De même, des catégories et des facettes entières pourront disparaître lorsque les résultats de recherche ne contiennent aucune référence leur étant associées.
  • Une icône de flèche () apparaissant à côté d’une catégorie indique que des sous-catégories sont disponibles. Vous pouvez appuyer sur l’icône pour faire afficher la liste de ces catégories plus spécifiques. Par la suite, vous pouvez appuyer à nouveau pour masquer la liste. L’action d’afficher ou de masquer les sous-catégories ne modifie pas vos critères de recherche; ceci vous permet de rapidement explorer l’arborescence des catégories, si désiré.

Résultats

Cette section présente les résultats de recherche. Si aucun critère de recherche n’a été fourni, elle montre toute la bibliographie (jusqu’à 20 références par page).

  • Chaque référence de la liste des résultats est un hyperlien vers sa notice bibliographique complète. À partir de la notice, vous pouvez continuer à explorer les résultats de recherche en naviguant vers les notices précédentes ou suivantes de vos résultats de recherche, ou encore retourner à la liste des résultats.
  • Des hyperliens supplémentaires, tels que Consulter le document ou Consulter sur [nom d’un site web], peuvent apparaître sous un résultat de recherche. Ces liens vous fournissent un accès rapide à la ressource, des liens que vous trouverez également dans la notice bibliographique.
  • Le bouton Résumés vous permet d’activer ou de désactiver l’affichage des résumés dans la liste des résultats de recherche. Toutefois, activer l’affichage des résumés n’aura aucun effet sur les résultats pour lesquels aucun résumé n’est disponible.
  • Diverses options sont fournies pour permettre de contrôler l’ordonnancement les résultats de recherche. L’une d’elles est l’option de tri par Pertinence, qui classe les résultats du plus pertinent au moins pertinent. Le score utilisé à cette fin prend en compte la fréquence des mots ainsi que les champs dans lesquels ils apparaissent. Par exemple, si un terme recherché apparaît fréquemment dans une référence ou est l’un d’un très petit nombre de termes utilisé dans cette référence, cette référence aura probablement un score plus élevé qu’une autre où le terme apparaît moins fréquemment ou qui contient un très grand nombre de mots. De même, le score sera plus élevé si un terme est rare dans l’ensemble de la bibliographie que s’il est très commun. De plus, si un terme de recherche apparaît par exemple dans le titre d’une référence, le score de cette référence sera plus élevé que s’il apparaissait dans un champ moins important tel le résumé.
  • Le tri par Pertinence n’est disponible qu’après avoir soumis des mots-clés par le biais de la section Rechercher.
  • Les catégories sélectionnées dans la section Explorer n’ont aucun effet sur le tri par pertinence. Elles ne font que filtrer la liste des résultats.
Types d'événements extrêmes
  • Évènements liés au froid (neige, glace)
Année de publication
  • Entre 2000 et 2025
    • Entre 2020 et 2025
      • 2023

Résultats 74 ressources

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Résumés
  • El-Mousawi, F., Ortiz, A. M., Berkat, R., & Nasri, B. (2023). The Impact of Flood Adaptation Measures on Affected Population’s Mental Health: A mixed method Scoping Review. Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory. https://doi.org/10.1101/2023.04.27.23289166

    AbstractThe frequency and severity of floods has increased in different regions of the world due to climate change. Although the impact of floods on human health has been extensively studied, the increase in the segments of the population that are likely to be impacted by floods in the future makes it necessary to examine how adaptation measures impact the mental health of individuals affected by these natural disasters. The goal of this scoping review is to document the existing studies on flood adaptation measures and their impact on the mental health of affected populations, in order to identify the best preventive strategies as well as limitations that deserve further exploration. This study employed the methodology of the PRISMA-ScR extension for scoping reviews to systematically search the databases Medline and Web of Science to identify studies that examined the impact of adaptation measures on the mental health of flood victims. The database queries resulted in a total of 857 records from both databases. Following two rounds of screening, 9 studies were included for full-text analysis. Most of the analyzed studies sought to identify the factors that drive resilience in flood victims, particularly in the context of social capital (6 studies), whereas the remaining studies analyzed the impact of external interventions on the mental health of flood victims, either from preventive or post-disaster measures (3 studies). There is a very limited number of studies that analyze the impact of adaptation measures on the mental health of populations and individuals affected by floods, which complicates the generalizability of their findings. There is a need for public health policies and guidelines for the development of flood adaptation measures that adequately consider a social component that can be used to support the mental health of flood victims.

    Consulter le document
  • Maltais, D., Bourdeau-Brien, M., Gilbert, S., Normandin, J.-M., Tchassem Pinlap, J., Généreux, M., Landaverde, E., & Boudreault, M. (2023). Impacts et coûts indirects des stresseurs secondaires sur la santé biopsychosociale des sinistrés des inondations de 2019. https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11794/136423

    Les inondations de 2017 et 2019 au Québec ont affecté respectivement 293 et 240 municipalités. Ces inondations ont généré une cascade d’évènements stressants (stresseurs primaires et secondaires) qui ont eu des effets sur la santé mentale de la population et retardé le processus de rétablissement des individus. Cette période de rétablissement peut s’échelonner sur plusieurs mois voire plusieurs années. Cette étude s’inscrit dans la spécificité de la recherche mixte mise de l’avant à travers trois stratégies de recherche, réalisées de façon séquentielle : 1) sondage populationnelle réalisé auprès de 680 personnes, 2) analyse de documents produits par les organisations participant au processus de rétablissement social des sinistrés, ou sur des analyses externes portant sur ces interventions de rétablissement et 3) entrevues semi-dirigées auprès de 15 propriétaires occupants ayant complété une demande d’indemnisation à la suite des inondations de 2019 et auprès de 11 professionnels et gestionnaires participant au processus de rétablissement social. Les entrevues semi-dirigées et les questionnaires complétés par les personnes sinistrées lors des inondations de 2019 démontrent que les principales sources de stress ayant des impacts sur la santé et le bien-être des répondants sont : 1) l’absence d’avertissement et la vitesse de la montée des eaux; 2) l’obligation de se relocaliser et la peur d’être victime de pillage; 3) le manque de solidarité et d’empathie de la part de certains employés du MSP; 4) la gestion des conflits familiaux; 5) la gestion de problèmes de santé nouveaux ou préexistants; 6) la complexité des demandes d’indemnisation; 7) la lourdeur et les délais des travaux de nettoyage ou de restauration; 8) les indemnités inférieures aux coûts engendrés par l’inondation; 9) les pertes matérielles subies, particulièrement ceux d’une valeur de plus de 50 000 $; et 10) la diminution anticipée de la valeur de sa résidence. À cela s’ajoute l’insatisfaction à l’égard du programme d’indemnisation du gouvernement du Québec (PGIAF) qui fait plus que doubler la prévalence des symptômes de stress post-traumatique. Les inondations entraînent également une perte de satisfaction ou de bien-être statistiquement significative. La valeur monétaire de cette perte de jouissance peut être exprimée en équivalent salaires. En moyenne, cette diminution du bien-être équivaut à une baisse de salaire de 60 000$ pour les individus ayant vécu une première inondation et à 100 000$ pour les individus ayant vécu de multiples inondations. Ces résultats suggèrent que les coûts indirects et intangibles représentent une part importante des dommages découlant des inondations. Ce projet de recherche vise également à analyser l’application du PGIAF et son influence sur les stresseurs vécus par les sinistrés dans le contexte de la pandémie de COVID-19. La principale recommandation de cette étude repose sur une analyse de documents, un sondage populationnel et des entrevues semi-dirigées. Ainsi, s’attaquer à la réduction de principaux stresseurs nécessite 1) d’améliorer la gouvernance du risque d’inondation, 2) d’intensifier la communication et le support aux sinistrés, et 3) de revoir les mécanismes d’indemnisation existants.

    Consulter le document
  • Del Rio Amador, L., Boudreault, M., & Carozza, D. A. (2023). Global Asymmetries in the Influence of ENSO on Flood Risk Based on 1,600 Years of Hybrid Simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(5). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022gl102027

    AbstractEl Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is often considered as a source of long‐term predictability for extreme events via its teleconnection patterns. However, given that its characteristic cycle varies from two to 7 years, it is difficult to obtain statistically significant conclusions based on observational periods spanning only a few decades. To overcome this, we apply the global flood risk modeling framework developed by Carozza and Boudreault to an equivalent of 1,600 years of bias‐corrected General Circulation Model outputs. The results show substantial anomalies in flood occurrences and impacts for El Niño and La Niña when compared to the all‐year baseline. We were able to obtain a larger global coverage of statistically significant results than previous studies limited to observational data. Asymmetries in anomalies for both ENSO phases show a larger global influence of El Niño than La Niña on flood hazard and risk.

    Consulter sur agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
  • Duguay, J. M., Biron, P. M., & Lacey, R. W. J. (2023). Density effects on streamwise-orientated vorticity at river confluences: a laboratory investigation. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 973, A7. https://doi.org/10.1017/jfm.2023.656

    Small differences in the densities of a river confluence's tributaries (i.e. 0.5 kg m $^{-3}$ ) have been proposed to cause coherent streamwise-oriented vortices (SOVs) in its mixing interface. These secondary flow structures are thought to result from density-driven gravity currents being laterally confined between the converging flows. However, empirical evidence for density SOVs and the confined gravity current mechanism is lacking. To this end, experiments are carried out in a laboratory confluence permitting a spectrum of thermal density differences between its tributaries. Particle image velocimetry and laser-induced fluorescence are used simultaneously to study the mixing interface's dynamics. The sensitivity of the mixing interface's secondary flow structure to the confluence's momentum ratio and the magnitude of the density difference is evaluated. Density SOVs are confirmed in the mixing interface and are caused by the gravity currents being confined laterally as the opposing flows merge and accelerate downstream. The SOVs are largest and most coherent when the momentum of the dense channel is greater than that of the light channel. The dynamics of these secondary flow structures is strongly coupled to periodic vertically orientated Kelvin–Helmholtz instabilities. The striking similarities between the empirically reproduced SOVs herein and those recently observed at the Coaticook-Massawippi confluence (Quebec, Canada), despite a two-order magnitude difference in physical scale, suggest density SOVs are a scale-independent flow structure at confluences when specific, yet relatively common, hydraulic and density conditions align.

    Consulter sur www.cambridge.org
  • Lin, C. A. (2023). Flood Risk Management via Risk Communication, Cognitive Appraisal, Collective Efficacy, and Community Action. Sustainability, 15(19), 14191. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151914191

    Climate change and more frequent severe storms have caused persistent flooding, storm surges, and erosion in the northeastern coastal region of the United States. These weather-related disasters have continued to generate negative environmental consequences across many communities. This study examined how coastal residents’ exposure to flood risk information and information seeking behavior were related to their threat appraisal, threat-coping efficacy, and participation in community action in the context of building social resilience. A random sample of residents of a coastal community in the Northeastern United States was selected to participate in an online survey (N = 302). Key study results suggested that while offline news exposure was weakly related to flood vulnerability perception, online news exposure and mobile app use were both weakly associated with flood-risk information seeking. As flood vulnerability perception was strongly connected to flood severity perception but weakly linked to lower self-efficacy beliefs, flood severity perception was weakly and moderately associated with response-efficacy beliefs and information seeking, respectively. Furthermore, self-efficacy beliefs, response efficacy beliefs, and flood-risk information seeking were each a weak or moderate predictor of collective efficacy beliefs. Lastly, flood risk information-seeking was a strong predictor and collective efficacy beliefs were a weak predictor of community action for flood-risk management. This study tested a conceptual model that integrated the constructs from risk communication, information seeking, and protection motivation theory. Based on the modeling results reflecting a set of first-time findings, theoretical and practical implications are discussed.

    Consulter sur www.mdpi.com
  • Ghobrial, T., Pierre, A., Boyd, S., & Loewen, M. (2023). Ice accumulation at a water intake: a case study on the Mille-Iles River, Québec. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering. https://doi.org/10.1139/cjce-2023-0076

    The blockage of water intakes by ice is recurrent in northern rivers during winter. Previous field studies have monitored field conditions leading to ice blockage and provided a review of mitigations methods. However, to improve the efficacy of these measures, the mechanisms that create the blockage need to be locally measured. For this purpose, a field campaign was implemented to monitor a water intake on the Mille-Iles River at Terrebonne, Quebec, during the winter of 2020–2021. Results from this study showed that ice accumulation on the trash rack had an average growth rate of 1.35 cm/h and reached a maximum thickness of 24 cm. The release rate of these trash rack accumulation events was on average 1.8 cm/h, which is 30% faster than the deposition rate. A minimum cumulative degree minutes of supercooling of 4.5 °C.min was required for the start of a trash-rack ice-accumulation event.

    Consulter sur cdnsciencepub.com
  • Ladouceur, J.-R., & Ghobrial, T. (2023). Ice processes in culverts with two fish passage designs: a case study in southern Quebec. https://cdnsciencepub.com/doi/10.1139/cjce-2023-0088

    According to Department of Fisheries and Oceans Canada, culverts and other stream crossings must be designed to ensure fish passage. The effects of ice processes on these fish passage designs have never been assessed. This study is the first to document ice processes on two different types of fish passage designs (streambed simulation and baffle). The results of a 2 year field monitoring campaign showed that the culvert simulating the streambed retains a natural ice regime, i.e., both freeze-up and break-up occurred concurrently with the rest of the stream, while multiple supercooling events were recorded under a thin ice cover. As for the culvert with baffles, it was observed that the ice cover formed earlier and stayed longer in the culvert, which can create a barrier for fish transiting through them.

    Consulter sur cdnsciencepub.com
  • Rahimpour Asenjan, M., Brissette, F., Martel, J.-L., & Arsenault, R. (2023). Understanding the influence of “hot” models in climate impact studies: a hydrological perspective. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 27(23), 4355–4367. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-4355-2023

    Abstract. Efficient adaptation strategies to climate change require the estimation of future impacts and the uncertainty surrounding this estimation. Over- or underestimating future uncertainty may lead to maladaptation. Hydrological impact studies typically use a top-down approach in which multiple climate models are used to assess the uncertainty related to the climate model structure and climate sensitivity. Despite ongoing debate, impact modelers have typically embraced the concept of “model democracy”, in which each climate model is considered equally fit. The newer Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) simulations, with several models showing a climate sensitivity larger than that of Phase 5 (CMIP5) and larger than the likely range based on past climate information and understanding of planetary physics, have reignited the model democracy debate. Some have suggested that “hot” models be removed from impact studies to avoid skewing impact results toward unlikely futures. Indeed, the inclusion of these models in impact studies carries a significant risk of overestimating the impact of climate change. This large-sample study looks at the impact of removing hot models on the projections of future streamflow over 3107 North American catchments. More precisely, the variability in future projections of mean, high, and low flows is evaluated using an ensemble of 19 CMIP6 general circulation models (GCMs), 5 of which are deemed hot based on their global equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS). The results show that the reduced ensemble of 14 climate models provides streamflow projections with reduced future variability for Canada, Alaska, the Southeast US, and along the Pacific coast. Elsewhere, the reduced ensemble has either no impact or results in increased variability in future streamflow, indicating that global outlier climate models do not necessarily provide regional outlier projections of future impacts. These results emphasize the delicate nature of climate model selection, especially based on global fitness metrics that may not be appropriate for local and regional assessments.

    Consulter sur hess.copernicus.org
  • Champagne, O., Arain, A., Wang, S., & Leduc, M. (2023). Future change in amplitude and timing of high-flow events in a Canadian subarctic watershed. Cold Regions Science and Technology, 209. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coldregions.2023.103807

    The Hudson Bay basin is a large contributor of freshwater input in the Arctic Ocean and is also an area affected by destructive spring floods. In this study, the hydrological model MESH (Modelisation Environmentale Communautaire - Surface and hydrology) was set up for the Groundhog River watershed situated in the Hudson Bay basin, to simulate the future evolution of streamflow and annual maximum streamflow. MESH was forced by meteorological data from ERA5 reanalyses in the historical period (1979–2018) and 12 models of the Coupled model intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) downscaled with the Canadian Regional Climate model version 5 (CRCM5) in historical (1979–2005) and scenario period (2006–2098). The projections consistently indicate an earlier spring flow and a reduction in the amount of annual maximum streamflow by the end of the 21st century. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, the annual maximum streamflow occurring in the spring is expected to be advanced by 2 weeks and reduced on average from 852 m3/s (±265) in the historical period (1979–2018) to 717m3/s (±250) by the end of the 21st century (2059–2098). Because the seasonal projection of streamflow was not investigated in previous studies, this work is an important first step to assess the seasonal change of streamflow in the Hudson Bay region under climate change.

    Consulter sur www.sciencedirect.com
  • Tiwari, D., Trudel, M., & Leconte, R. (2023). On optimization of calibrations of a distributed hydrological model with spatially distributed information on snow. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2023-143

    Abstract. In northern cold-temperate countries, a large portion of annual streamflow is produced by spring snowmelt, which often triggers floods. It is important to have spatial information about snow parameters such as snow water equivalent (SWE), which can be incorporated into hydrological models, making them more efficient tools for improved decision-making. The future Terrestrial Snow Mass Mission (TSMM) aims to provide high-resolution spatially distributed SWE information; thus, spatial SWE calibration should be considered along with conventional streamflow calibration for model optimization since the overall water balance is often a key objective in the hydrological modelling. The present research implements a unique spatial pattern metric in a multi-objective framework for calibration approach of hydrological models and attempts to determine whether raw SNODAS data can be utilized for hydrological model calibration. The SPAtial Efficiency (SPAEF) metric is explored for spatially calibrating SWE. The HYDROTEL hydrological model is applied to the Au Saumon River Watershed (∽1120 km2) in Eastern Canada using MSWEP precipitation data and ERA-5 land reanalysis temperature data as input to generate high-resolution SWE and streamflow. Different calibration experiments are performed combining Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) for streamflow and root-mean-square error (RMSE), and SPAEF for SWE, using the Dynamically Dimensioned Search (DDS) and Pareto Archived Multi-Objective Optimization (PADDS) algorithms. Results of the study demonstrate that multi-objective calibration outperforms sequential calibration in terms of model performance. Traditional model calibration involving only streamflow produced slightly higher NSE values; however, the spatial distribution of SWE could not be adequately maintained. This study indicates that utilizing SPAEF for spatial calibration of snow parameters improved streamflow prediction compared to the conventional practice of using RMSE for calibration. SPAEF is further implied to be a more effective metric than RMSE for both sequential and multi-objective calibration. During validation, the calibration experiment incorporating multi-objective SPAEF exhibits enhanced performance in terms of NSE and Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) compared to calibration experiment solely based on NSE. This observation supports the notion that incorporating SPAEF computed on raw SNODAS data within the calibration framework results in a more robust hydrological model.

    Consulter sur hess.copernicus.org
  • Slater, L. J., Arnal, L., Boucher, M.-A., Chang, A. Y.-Y., Moulds, S., Murphy, C., Nearing, G., Shalev, G., Shen, C., Speight, L., Villarini, G., Wilby, R. L., Wood, A., & Zappa, M. (2023). Hybrid forecasting: blending climate predictions with AI models. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 27(9). https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1865-2023

    Abstract. Hybrid hydroclimatic forecasting systems employ data-driven (statistical or machine learning) methods to harness and integrate a broad variety of predictions from dynamical, physics-based models – such as numerical weather prediction, climate, land, hydrology, and Earth system models – into a final prediction product. They are recognized as a promising way of enhancing the prediction skill of meteorological and hydroclimatic variables and events, including rainfall, temperature, streamflow, floods, droughts, tropical cyclones, or atmospheric rivers. Hybrid forecasting methods are now receiving growing attention due to advances in weather and climate prediction systems at subseasonal to decadal scales, a better appreciation of the strengths of AI, and expanding access to computational resources and methods. Such systems are attractive because they may avoid the need to run a computationally expensive offline land model, can minimize the effect of biases that exist within dynamical outputs, benefit from the strengths of machine learning, and can learn from large datasets, while combining different sources of predictability with varying time horizons. Here we review recent developments in hybrid hydroclimatic forecasting and outline key challenges and opportunities for further research. These include obtaining physically explainable results, assimilating human influences from novel data sources, integrating new ensemble techniques to improve predictive skill, creating seamless prediction schemes that merge short to long lead times, incorporating initial land surface and ocean/ice conditions, acknowledging spatial variability in landscape and atmospheric forcing, and increasing the operational uptake of hybrid prediction schemes.

    Consulter sur hess.copernicus.org
  • Thompson, H. D., Thériault, J. M., Déry, S. J., Stewart, R. E., Boisvert, D., Rickard, L., Leroux, N. R., Colli, M., & Vionnet, V. (2023). Atmospheric and surface observations during the Saint John River Experiment on Cold Season Storms (SAJESS). https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2023-59

    Abstract. The amount and phase of cold season precipitation accumulating in the upper Saint John River basin are critical factors in determining spring runoff, ice-jams, and flooding in downstream communities. To study the impact of winter and spring storms on the snowpack in the upper Saint John River (SJR) basin, the Saint John River Experiment on Cold Season Storms (SAJESS) utilized meteorological instrumentation, upper air soundings, human observations, and hydrometeor macrophotography during winter/spring 2020–21. Here, we provide an overview of the SAJESS study area, field campaign, and existing data networks surrounding the upper SJR basin. Initially, meteorological instrumentation was co-located with an Environment and Climate Change Canada station near Edmundston, New Brunswick, in early December 2020. This was followed by an intensive observation period that involved manual observations, upper-air soundings, a multi-angle snowflake camera, macrophotography of solid hydrometeors, and advanced automated instrumentation throughout March and April 2021. The resulting datasets include optical disdrometer size and velocity distributions of hydrometeors, micro rain radar output, near-surface meteorological observations, and wind speed, temperature, pressure and precipitation amounts from a K63 Hotplate precipitation gauge, the first one operating in Canada. These data are publicly available from the Federated Research Data Repository at https://doi.org/10.20383/103.0591 (Thompson et al., 2022). We also include a synopsis of the data management plan and data processing, and a brief assessment of the rewards and challenges of utilizing community volunteers for hydro-meteorological citizen science.

    Consulter sur essd.copernicus.org
  • Prijac, A., Gandois, L., Taillardat, P., Bourgault, M.-A., Riahi, K., Ponçot, A., Tremblay, A., & Garneau, M. (2023). Hydrological connectivity controls dissolved organic carbon exports in a peatland-dominated boreal catchment stream. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 27(21), 3935–3955. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-3935-2023

    The magnitudes of dissolved organic carbon (DOC) exports from boreal peatlands to streams through lateral subsurface flow vary during the ice-free season. Peatland water table depth and the alternation of low and high flow in peat-draining streams are thought to drive this DOC export variability. However, calculation of the specific DOC exports from a peatland can be challenging considering the multiple potential DOC sources within the catchment. A calculation approach based on the hydrological connectivity between the peat and the stream could help to solve this issue, which is the approach used in the present research. This study took place from June 2018 to October 2019 in a boreal catchment in northeastern Canada, with 76.7 % of the catchment being covered by ombrotrophic peatland. The objectives were to (1) establish relationships between DOC exports from a headwater stream and the peatland hydrology; (2) quantify, at the catchment scale, the amount of DOC laterally exported to the draining stream; and (3) define the patterns of DOC mobilization during high-river-flow events. At the peatland headwater stream outlet, the DOC concentrations were monitored at a high frequency (hourly) using a fluorescent dissolved organic matter (fDOM) sensor, a proxy for DOC concentration. Hydrological variables, such as stream outlet discharge and peatland water table depth (WTD), were continuously monitored at hourly intervals for 2 years. Our results highlight the direct and delayed control of subsurface flow from peat to the stream and associated DOC exports. Rain events raised the peatland WTD, which increased hydrological connectivity between the peatland and the stream. This led to increased stream discharge (Q) and a delayed DOC concentration increase, typical of lateral subsurface flow. The magnitude of the WTD increase played a crucial role in influencing the quantity of DOC exported. Based on the observations that the peatland is the most important contributor to DOC exports at the catchment scale and that other DOC sources were negligible during high-flow periods, we propose a new approach to estimate the specific DOC exports attributable to the peatland by distinguishing between the surfaces used for calculation during high-flow and low-flow periods. In 2018–2019, 92.6 % of DOC was exported during flood events despite the fact that these flood events accounted for 59.1 % of the period. In 2019–2020, 93.8 % of DOC was exported during flood events, which represented 44.1 % of the period. Our analysis of individual flood events revealed three types of events and DOC mobilization patterns. The first type is characterized by high rainfall, leading to an important WTD increase that favours the connection between the peatland and the stream and leading to high DOC exports. The second is characterized by a large WTD increase succeeding a previous event that had depleted DOC available to be transferred to the stream, leading to low DOC exports. The third type corresponds to low rainfall events with an insufficient WTD increase to reconnect the peatland and the stream, leading to low DOC exports. Our results suggest that DOC exports are sensitive to hydroclimatic conditions; moreover, flood events, changes in rainfall regime, ice-free season duration, and porewater temperature may affect the exported DOC and, consequently, partially offset the net carbon sequestration potential of peatlands.

    Consulter sur hess.copernicus.org
  • Obrist-Farner, J., Eckert, A., Douglas, P. M. J., Perez, L., Correa-Metrio, A., Konecky, B. L., Bauersachs, T., Zimmerman, S., Scheidt, S., Brenner, M., Kutterolf, S., Maurer, J., Flores, O., Burberry, C. M., Noren, A., Myrbo, A., Lachniet, M., Wattrus, N., Gibson, D., & the LIBRE scientific team. (2023). Planning for the Lake Izabal Basin Research Endeavor (LIBRE) continental scientific drilling project in eastern Guatemala. Scientific Drilling, 32, 85–100. https://doi.org/10.5194/sd-32-85-2023

    As Earth's atmospheric temperatures and human populations increase, more people are becoming vulnerable to natural and human-induced disasters. This is particularly true in Central America, where the growing human population is experiencing climate extremes (droughts and floods), and the region is susceptible to geological hazards, such as earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, and environmental deterioration in many forms (soil erosion, lake eutrophication, heavy metal contamination, etc.). Instrumental and historical data from the region are insufficient to understand and document past hazards, a necessary first step for mitigating future risks. Long, continuous, well-resolved geological records can, however, provide a window into past climate and environmental changes that can be used to better predict future conditions in the region. The Lake Izabal Basin (LIB), in eastern Guatemala, contains the longest known continental records of tectonics, climate, and environmental change in the northern Neotropics. The basin is a pull-apart depression that developed along the North American and Caribbean plate boundary ∼ 12 Myr ago and contains > 4 km of sediment. The sedimentological archive in the LIB records the interplay among several Earth System processes. Consequently, exploration of sediments in the basin can provide key information concerning: (1) tectonic deformation and earthquake history along the plate boundary; (2) the timing and causes of volcanism from the Central American Volcanic Arc; and (3) hydroclimatic, ecologic, and geomicrobiological responses to different climate and environmental states. To evaluate the LIB as a potential site for scientific drilling, 65 scientists from 13 countries and 33 institutions met in Antigua, Guatemala, in August 2022 under the auspices of the International Continental Scientific Drilling Program (ICDP) and the US National Science Foundation (NSF). Several working groups developed scientific questions and overarching hypotheses that could be addressed by drilling the LIB and identified optimal coring sites and instrumentation needed to achieve the project goals. The group also discussed logistical challenges and outreach opportunities. The project is not only an outstanding opportunity to improve our scientific understanding of seismotectonic, volcanic, paleoclimatic, paleoecologic, and paleobiologic processes that operate in the tropics of Central America, but it is also an opportunity to improve understanding of multiple geological hazards and communicate that knowledge to help increase the resilience of at-risk Central American communities.

    Consulter sur sd.copernicus.org
  • Pashaei, Z., Guilbert, É., & Badard, T. (2023). A Kriging Method for the Estimation of ALS Point-Cloud Accuracy without Ground Truth. Remote Sensing, 15(19), 4819. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15194819

    Airborne LiDAR scanning is a promising approach to providing high-resolution products that are appropriate for different applications, such as flood management. However, the vertical accuracy of airborne LiDAR point clouds is not constant and varies in space. Having a better knowledge of their accuracy will assist decision makers in more accurately estimating the damage caused by flood. Data producers often report the total estimation of errors by means of comparison with a ground truth. However, the reliability of such an approach depends on various factors including the sample size, accessibility to ground truth, distribution, and a large enough diversity of ground truth, which comes at a cost and is somewhat unfeasible in the larger scale. Therefore, the main objective of this article is to propose a method that could provide a local estimation of error without any third-party datasets. In this regard, we take advantage of geostatistical ordinary kriging as an alternative accuracy estimator. The challenge of considering constant variation across the space leads us to propose a non-stationary ordinary kriging model that results in the local estimation of elevation accuracy. The proposed method is compared with global ordinary kriging and a ground truth, and the results indicate that our method provides more reliable error values. These errors are lower in urban and semi-urban areas, especially in farmland and residential areas, but larger in forests, due to the lower density of points and the larger terrain variations.

    Consulter sur www.mdpi.com
  • Leclerc, M., Ponton, D. E., Bilodeau, F., Planas, D., & Amyot, M. (2023). Enhanced Bioaccumulation and Transfer of Monomethylmercury through Periphytic Biofilms in Benthic Food Webs of a River Affected by Run-of-River Dams. Environmental Science & Technology, 57(49), 20792–20801. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.3c05585
    Consulter sur pubs.acs.org
  • Le De, L., Baumann, L. L., Moatty, A., Le Masson, V., Kikano, F., Fayazi, M., Fernandez, M., Tomassi, I., & Cadag, J. R. D. (2023). Alternatives for sustained disaster risk reduction: A re-assessment. Jàmbá Journal of Disaster Risk Studies, 15(1). https://doi.org/10.4102/jamba.v15i1.1487
    Consulter sur www.jamba.org.za
  • Kabo, R., Bourgault, M.-A., Barrette, N., & Tanguay, L. (2023). Use of Mixed Methods in the Science of Hydrological Extremes: What Are Their Contributions? Hydrology, 10(6). https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology10060130

    Research in hydrological sciences is constantly evolving to provide adequate answers to address various water-related issues. Methodological approaches inspired by mathematical and physical sciences have shaped hydrological sciences from its inceptions to the present day. Nowadays, as a better understanding of the social consequences of extreme meteorological events and of the population’s ability to adapt to these becomes increasingly necessary, hydrological sciences have begun to integrate knowledge from social sciences. Such knowledge allows for the study of complex social-ecological realities surrounding hydrological phenomena, such as citizens’ perception of water resources, as well as individual and collective behaviors related to water management. Using a mixed methods approach to combine quantitative and qualitative approaches has thus become necessary to understand the complexity of hydrological phenomena and propose adequate solutions for their management. In this paper, we detail how mixed methods can be used to research flood hydrology and low-flow conditions, as well as in the management of these hydrological extremes, through the analysis of case studies. We frame our analysis within the three paradigms (positivism, post-positivism, and constructivism) and four research designs (triangulation, complementary, explanatory, and exploratory) that guide research in hydrology. We show that mixed methods can notably contribute to the densification of data on extreme flood events to help reduce forecasting uncertainties, to the production of knowledge on low-flow hydrological states that are insufficiently documented, and to improving participatory decision making in water management and in handling extreme hydrological events.

    Consulter sur www.mdpi.com
  • He, J., Li, T., & Rui, Y. (2023). Geomechanical Properties of Deep-Sea Pore-Filled Methane Hydrate-Bearing Soils at Critical State Using DEM Analysis. Fractal and Fractional, 7(9), 681. https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract7090681

    The recognition of the geomechanical properties of methane hydrate-bearing soil (MHBS) is crucial to exploring energy resources. The paper presents the mechanical properties of a pore-filled MHBS at a critical state using the distinct element method (DEM). The pore-filled MHBS was simulated as cemented MH agglomerates to fill the soil pores at varying levels of methane hydration (MH) saturation. A group of triaxial compression (TC) tests were conducted, subjecting MHBS samples to varying effective confining pressures (ECPs). The mechanical behaviors of a pore-filled MHBS were analyzed, as it experienced significant strains leading to a critical state. The findings reveal that the proposed DEM successfully captures the qualitative geomechanical properties of MHBS. As MH saturation increases, the shear strength of MHBS generally rises. Moreover, higher ECPs result in increased shear strength and volumetric contraction. The peak shear strength of MHBS increases with rising MH saturation, while the residual deviator stress remains mainly unchanged at a critical state. There is a good correlation between fabric changes of the MHBS with variations in principal stresses and principal strains. With increasing axial strain, the coordination number (CN) and mechanical coordination number (MCN) increase to peak values as the values of MH saturation and ECPs increase, and reach a stable value at a larger axial strain.

    Consulter sur www.mdpi.com
  • He, J., Ma, X., & Chen, X. (2023). Benefit of assimilating satellite all-sky infrared radiances on the cloud and precipitation prediction of a long-lasting mesoscale convective system over the Tibetan plateau. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 149(756). https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4529

    Heavy rainfall events in the warm season (May–September) over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) region and its downstream areas are often closely related to eastward-propagating Tibetan Plateau Vortices (TPVs). Hence, improving the prediction of TPVs and their associated convective activity is of paramount importance, given the significant potential impacts they can have on densely populated downstream regions, including but not limited to flooding and damages. In this study, a typical long-lived TPV that occurred in July 2008 was used for the first time to explore the benefit of assimilating satellite all-sky infrared radiances on the cloud and precipitation prediction of the TPV-induced eastward-propagating mesoscale convective system (MCS). The all-sky infrared radiances from the water vapor (WV) channel of the geostationary Meteosat-7 and other conventional observations were assimilated into a 4-km grid spacing regional model using the ensemble Kalman filter. The results revealed that the all-sky infrared data assimilation improved the cloud, precipitation, dynamical, and thermodynamical analyses as well as 0–12-hr deterministic and ensemble forecasts. Compared with the experiment in which the all-sky infrared radiances were not assimilated (non-radiance experiment), the experiment with assimilated all-sky infrared radiances yielded clearly improved initial wind and cloud fields, 1–12-hr cloud forecasts, and 1–6-hr precipitation forecasts. This study indicates that assimilation of all-sky satellite radiances has the potential for improving the operational cloud and precipitation forecasts over the TP and its downstream areas.

    Consulter sur onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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