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The 2023 wildfire season in Québec set records due to extreme warm and dry conditions, burning 4.5 million hectares and indicating persistent and escalating impacts associated with climate change. This study reviews the unusual weather conditions that led to the fires, discussing their extensive impacts on the forest sector, fire management, boreal caribou habitats, and particularly the profound effects on First Nation communities. The wildfires led to significant declines in forest productivity and timber supply, overwhelming fire management resources, and necessitating widespread evacuations. First Nation territories were dramatically altered, facing severe air quality issues and disruptions. While caribou impacts were modest across the province, the broader ecological, economical, and social repercussions were considerable. To mitigate future extreme wildfire seasons, the study suggests changes in forest management practices to increase forest resilience and resistance, adapting industrial structures to changes in wood type harvested, and enhancing fire suppression and risk management strategies. It calls for a comprehensive, unified approach to risk management that incorporates the lessons learned from the 2023 fire season and accounts for ongoing climate change. The studyunderscores the urgent need for detailed planning and proactive measures to reduce the growing risks and impacts of wildfires in a changing climate.
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Flood-related losses are on the rise in Canada and private insurance remains costly or unavailable in high-risk areas. Despite the introduction of overland flood insurance in 2015, following the federal government’s invitation to the insurance industry to participate in flood risk-sharing, federal and provincial disaster financial assistance programs still cover a large portion of these costs. As the risks increase, governments are questioning the sustainability of using taxpayers’ money to finance such losses, leaving municipalities with significant residual risk. The growing number of people and assets occupying flood-prone areas, including public infrastructure, has contributed to the sharp increase in flood damage costs. Based on a literature review and discussions with experts, this paper describes the municipal role in flood-risk management, and shows how provincial and federal financial assistance to municipalities for flood damage in British Columbia and Québec may be counterproductive in fostering flood-risk management at the municipal level. We conclude that municipalities can play a more proactive role in incorporating risk reduction as the key objective of disaster financial assistance and propose three specific policy instruments to help reduce the growing number of people living in flood zones: flood mapping, land-use planning, and the relocation of high-risk properties.
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Many regions are becoming subject to successive flooding and with climate change taking its toll, it is no surprise that we observe a growing interest for risk avoidance strategies such as relocation. Cost-benefit analysis is the dominant tool used by decision-makers to assess flood risk avoidance projects. Yet, few guidelines are available about how to implement such analysis. This paper advocates for a probabilistic cost-benefit analysis and details a step-by-step procedure via a real-world example. The results show that relocation can be a cost-effective strategy for many high-risk properties and neighborhoods. The level of indemnities and the inclusion of intangible losses are two key drivers of profitability. The paper also analyzes three distinct designs of relocation programs. The results reveal that proactive and innovative schemes, such as managed retreat and usufruct arrangements, constitute worthwhile alternatives to a more conventional post-flood response design.
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Résumé Au Québec, la dynamique fluviale de la rivière des Escoumins a été perturbée par l'industrie forestière pendant plus d'un siècle. Un barrage a notamment été construit près de l'embouchure en 1846, puis démantelé en 2013. Ces perturbations ont entraîné des répercussions importantes sur l'équilibre du cours d'eau et sur l'habitat du saumon atlantique. Cette étude propose donc de caractériser la dynamique fluviale de la rivière des Escoumins et d'analyser les impacts du démantèlement du barrage dans une perspective de restauration des processus hydrogéomorphologiques et d'amélioration de l'habitat du saumon atlantique. Les résultats suggèrent que la trajectoire de la rivière a évolué différemment en fonction du style fluvial et de la composition granulométrique de chacun de ses segments homogènes. Toutefois, ce sont les activités de la drave et le démantèlement du barrage qui semblent avoir été les facteurs de contrôle les plus importants sur l'évolution de la trajectoire du cours d'eau. Le démantèlement a notamment permis la restauration de processus hydrogéomorphologiques et la libre circulation des salmonidés. Une meilleure procédure entourant le démantèlement des barrages et leur suivi devrait donc être mise en place au Canada afin de favoriser cette pratique . , Abstract In Quebec, the fluvial dynamics of the Escoumins River have been disturbed by the forestry industry for over a century. Most specifically, a dam was built near the mouth of the river in 1846 and dismantled in 2013. These disturbances had significant repercussions on the equilibrium of the river and Atlantic salmon habitat. This study therefore proposes to characterize the fluvial dynamics of the Escoumins River and to analyze the impacts of the dam dismantling from the perspective of restoring hydrogeomorphological processes and improving Atlantic salmon habitat. The results suggest that the trajectory of the river evolved differently depending on the fluvial style and the grain size composition of each of its homogeneous segments. However, log drive activities in river and dam removal appear to have been the most important controlling factors on the evolution of the stream trajectory. The dismantling notably allowed the restoration of hydrogeomorphological processes and the free movement of salmonids. A better procedure for dam removal and monitoring should be put in place in Canada to encourage this practice . , Messages clés Les activités de la drave et le démantèlement du barrage ont fortement affecté la trajectoire hydrogéomorphologique de la rivière des Escoumins, au Québec. Un démantèlement de barrage permet une restauration globale de l'écosystème fluvial et de ses processus hydrogéomorphologiques en plus d'améliorer les habitats disponibles pour les espèces aquatiques. Le démantèlement des barrages désuets ou désaffectés doit être considéré pour la restauration des écosystèmes fluviaux et une meilleure procédure entourant cette pratique doit être mise en place au Canada.
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Abstract For years, Japanese knotweed ( Reynoutria japonica ) has been suspected of accelerating riverbank erosion, despite a lack of convincing evidence. The stems of this invasive plant die back following the first autumn frosts, leaving the soil unprotected during winter and spring floods. In Québec (Canada), riverbank erosion may also be accentuated by ice during mechanical ice breakups. The objective of this study was to evaluate the influence of knotweed on riverbank erosion along a river invaded by the species, within a context of floods with ice. The elevation along 120 cross‐sectional riverbank profiles, occupied or not by knotweed, was measured before and after the spring flood of 2019. On average, riverbanks occupied by knotweed had nearly 3 cm more soil erosion than riverbanks without knotweed, a statistically significant difference. Stem density also influenced erosion: the higher the density, the greater the soil loss. Certain riverside conditions, such as the slope of the riverbank or being located on an islet, interacted with knotweed, further accentuating erosion. Soil losses measured between November 2018 and May–June 2019 were particularly pronounced, but the spring flood was also exceptional, with a recurrence interval close to 50 years. On the other hand, soil loss from rivers invaded by knotweed can be expected to increase over time, as this invasive species spreads rapidly in riparian habitats.
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Sensitive clays are known for producing retrogressive landslides, also called spread or flowslides. The key characteristics associated with the occurrence of these landslides on a sensitive clay slope must be assessed, and the potential retrogressive distance must be evaluated. Common risk analysis methods include empirical methods for estimating the distance of potential retrogression, analytical limit equilibrium methods, numerical modelling methods using the strength reduction technique, and the integration of a progressive failure mechanism into numerical methods. Methods developed for zoning purposes in Norway and Quebec provide conservative results in most cases, even if they don’t cover the worst cases scenario. A flowslide can be partially analysed using analytical limit equilibrium methods and numerical methods having strength reduction factor tools. Numerical modelling of progressive failure mechanisms using numerical methods can define the critical parameters of spread-type landslides, such as critical unloading and the retrogression distance of the failure. Continuous improvements to the large-deformation numerical modeling approach allow its application to all types of sensitive clay landslides.
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The Saint-Jean River (SRJ) in Eastern Canada is prone to the formation of very large rafts of wood. Managers of the SJR suspected these jams to influence salmon migration and carried out a dismantling operation to remove large wood accumulated in a 1.2 km long wood raft. This operation became a great opportunity to address key issues relating to large wood dynamics in a fluvial system: residence time and flood contribution to wood recruitment and transport. During the dismantling, we systematically sampled 319 trees from which year of death could be estimated from dendrochronology and year of accumulation in the raft could be obtained from satellite and aerial photos. These two dates allowed us to quantify the residence time for 262 datable large wood (LW) within the fluvial system, to examine the peak years of LW recruitment and to correlate the raft growth rate with hydrometeorological conditions since 1993. The results also emphasized four types of LW flood related to wood dynamics: 1) an erosive flood that produces a large amount of wood in river, 2) a mobilizing flood that carries large quantities of wood, 3) a flood mix that both recruits and transports large quantities of wood, and 4) an ice-breakup flood.
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La notoriété des rivières gaspésiennes est fondée, d’une part, sur la couleur émeraude de l’eau, de leurs eaux poissonneuses, mais également sur leurs bassins versants réactifs et toutes les conséquences que cela peut engendrer (p.ex. crues exceptionnelles, érosion, inondation, avulsion, production de bois en rivière, etc.). Suite aux crues majeures et consécutives de 2010 et 2011, les gestionnaires de la réserve faunique de Port-Daniel ont observé la présence d’un embâcle de bois majeur obstruant le chenal dans la portion aval de la rivière Port-Daniel. Cette obstruction a apporté son lot d’inquiétudes et de soucis par rapport au comportement migratoire ainsi qu’à l’abondance du Saumon de l’Atlantique (Salmo salar). C’est dans cette optique qu’une étude hydrogéomorphologique dans la rivière Port-Daniel a été commandée afin d’évaluer l’impact des embâcles de bois sur la montaison du saumon. L’objectif général a été d’analyser la dynamique du bois en rivière afin d’en évaluer son impact sur la trajectoire géomorphologique du cours d’eau et sur la migration anadrome du saumon. Le suivi historique du lit mineur a été réalisé à partir de séquences temporelles de photographies aériennes (1964, 1975, 1986 et 2001), d’orthophotographies (2004 et 2016), d’imagerie satellitaire (2010, 2013, 2018) et de drone (2019). Les modifications observées dans la géométrie planimétrique du lit mineur a permis de caractériser les processus et les ajustements morphologiques (migration latérale, avulsion, recoupement de méandre) et de quantifier l’érosion (calcul de taux de recule, surface érodée) pour chacune des époques. L’évaluation du bilan ligneux a été effectuée sur environ 15 km du corridor fluvial de la rivière Port-Daniel. Le bilan a été dressé à partir des apports (estimé à partir des surfaces érodées dans le temps et de la densité volumétrique), du bois en transition (mesuré dans le corridor fluvial à l’été 2019) ainsi qu’en accumulation (mesuré dans la zone deltaïque). L’analyse des résultats a ensuite permis de dresser un diagnostic à partir des caractéristiques hydrogéomorphologiques pour ainsi évaluer la trajectoire géomorphologique de la rivière Port-Daniel. Le bilan ligneux de la rivière Port-Daniel n’indique en aucun cas que le bois présent dans le corridor fluvial, incluant l’embâcle majeur observé à la suite des crues de 2010 et 2011, constitue une restriction à la montaison et la dévalaison du saumon. En effet, le chenal principal, autrefois obstrué par un embâcle massif, a emprunté un tracé différent possédant des caractéristiques hydrogéomorphologiques favorables à la migration anadrome de salmonidés. De plus, les analyses et les observations terrain ont démontré que la formation de ces embâcles massifs a contribué à la reconstruction de la plaine alluviale et que plusieurs des embâcles présents ont permis au chenal de se stabiliser. La présence et l’activité du Castor du Canada (Castor canadensis) ont été également observées. Toutefois, la dimension, les caractéristiques et la localisation des barrages présents dans le chenal migratoire ainsi que la littérature ne montrent pas ces structures comme des nuisances aux mouvements des salmonidés.
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Abstract Large wood (LW) is a ubiquitous feature in rivers of forested watersheds worldwide, and its importance for river diversity has been recognized for several decades. Although the role of LW in fluvial dynamics has been extensively documented, there is a need to better quantify the most significant components of LW budgets at the river scale. The purpose of our study was to quantify each component (input, accumulation, and output) of a LW budget at the reach and watershed scales for different time periods (i.e. a 50‐year period, decadal cycle, and interannual cycle). The LW budget was quantified by measuring the volumes of LW inputs, accumulations, and outputs within river sections that were finally evacuated from the watershed. The study site included three unusually large but natural wood rafts in the delta of the Saint‐Jean River (SJR; Québec, Canada) that have accumulated all LW exported from the watershed for the last 50 years. We observed an increase in fluvial dynamics since 2004, which led to larger LW recruitment and a greater LW volume trapped in the river corridor, suggesting that the system is not in equilibrium in terms of the wood budget but is rather recovering from previous human pressures as well as adjusting to hydroclimatic changes. The results reveal the large variability in the LW budget dynamics during the 50‐year period and allow us to examine the eco‐hydromorphological trajectory that highlights key variables (discharge, erosion rates, bar surface area, sinuosity, wood mobility, and wood retention). Knowledge on the dynamics of these variables improves our understanding of the historical and future trajectories of LW dynamics and fluvial dynamics in gravel‐bed rivers. Extreme events (flood and ice‐melt) significantly contribute to LW dynamics in the SJR river system. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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Large-scale flood risk assessment is essential in supporting national and global policies, emergency operations and land-use management. The present study proposes a cost-efficient method for the large-scale mapping of direct economic flood damage in data-scarce environments. The proposed framework consists of three main stages: (i) deriving a water depth map through a geomorphic method based on a supervised linear binary classification; (ii) generating an exposure land-use map developed from multi-spectral Landsat 8 satellite images using a machine-learning classification algorithm; and (iii) performing a flood damage assessment using a GIS tool, based on the vulnerability (depth–damage) curves method. The proposed integrated method was applied over the entire country of Romania (including minor order basins) for a 100-year return time at 30-m resolution. The results showed how the description of flood risk may especially benefit from the ability of the proposed cost-efficient model to carry out large-scale analyses in data-scarce environments. This approach may help in performing and updating risk assessments and management, taking into account the temporal and spatial changes in hazard, exposure, and vulnerability.