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La personnalisation des services est de plus en plus populaire dans le réseau de la santé et des services sociaux. Plutôt que de piger parmi des offres de services existantes, l’usager coconstruit des services selon ses besoins. Or, malgré les avancées dans ce domaine, peu d’approches de personnalisation des services existent pour répondre aux besoins des communautés. Dans ce texte, nous souhaitons contribuer au champ de la personnalisation des services en l’enrichissant d’une perspective communautaire. Vers cet objectif, nous recensons diverses approches employées en santé publique qui tiennent compte des besoins spécifiques des communautés. Nous déclinons ces approches au moyen d’interventions locales pour illustrer comment elles contribuent au développement d’une perspective communautaire à superposer au modèle actuel de personnalisation des services. Nous soutenons que la fonction promotion de la santé en santé publique permet de relier les individus à leur communauté d’appartenance au sein d’un modèle unique de personnalisation des services. Nous pensons que ce modèle intégré de personnalisation des services permettra d’une part, la coproduction de services individuels et communautaires et d’autre part, qu’il favorisera le rapprochement des acteurs des domaines de la santé publique et des services sociaux autour d’un projet commun de développement de communautés productrices de bien-être.
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Snow is the dominant form of precipitation and the main cryospheric feature of the High Arctic (HA) covering its land, sea, lake and river ice surfaces for a large part of the year. The snow cover in the HA is involved in climate feedbacks that influence the global climate system, and greatly impacts the hydrology and the ecosystems of the coldest biomes of the Northern Hemisphere. The ongoing global warming trend and its polar amplification is threatening the long-term stability of the snow cover in the HA. This study presents an extensive review of the literature on observed and projected snow cover conditions in the High Arctic region. Several key snow cover metrics were reviewed, including snowfall, snow cover duration (SCD), snow cover extent (SCE), snow depth (SD), and snow water equivalent (SWE) since 1930 based on in situ, remote sensing and simulations results. Changes in snow metrics were reviewed and outlined from the continental to the local scale. The reviewed snow metrics displayed different sensitivities to past and projected changes in precipitation and air temperature. Despite the overall increase in snowfall, both observed from historical data and projected into the future, some snow cover metrics displayed consistent decreasing trends, with SCE and SCD showing the most widespread and steady decreases over the last century in the HA, particularly in the spring and summer seasons. However, snow depth and, in some regions SWE, have mostly increased; nevertheless, both SD and SWE are projected to decrease by 2030. By the end of the century, the extent of Arctic spring snow cover will be considerably less than today (10–35%). Model simulations project higher winter snowfall, higher or lower maximum snow depth depending on regions, and a shortened snow season by the end of the century. The spatial pattern of snow metrics trends for both historical and projected climates exhibit noticeable asymmetry among the different HA sectors, with the largest observed and anticipated changes occurring over the Canadian HA.
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Abstract Having a realistic estimation of snow cover by conceptual hydrological models continues to challenge hydrologists. The calibration of the free model parameters is an unavoidable step and the uncertainties resulting from the use of this optimal set remains a source of concern, especially in forecasting applications and climate changes impact assessments. This study seeks to improve the calibration of the conceptual hydrological model GR4J coupled with the Cemaneige snow model, in order to obtain a more realistic simulation of the snow water equivalent (SWE) and to reduce the uncertainty of the free parameters. The performance of the two models was tested over twelve snow-dominated basins in southern Quebec, Canada. Four calibration strategies were adopted and compared. In the first two strategies, the parameters were calibrated against observed streamflow alone using a local and a global algorithm. In the third and fourth strategies the calibration of snow and hydrological parameters was performed against observed streamflow and snow water equivalent (SWE) measured at snow course transects, first separately, and then with a multiobjective approach. An ensemble of equifinal parameters was used to compare the capacity of the global and multiobjective algorithms to improve the parameters identifiability and to assess the impact of parameter equifinality on the temperature sensitivity of spring peak streamflow. The large number of equifinal parameters found during calibration underscores the importance of structural non-identifiability of the coupled GR4J-Cemaneige model. The inclusion of snow observations within a multiobjective calibration improved the simulation of SWE, the identifiability of the parameters and their correlation with basins characteristics. Parameter equifinality caused a small but non negligible uncertainty in the simulated response of spring peak flow to warming temperatures. Parameter equifinality should be considered in climate impact studies in snow-dominated basins where poorly constrained snow parameters can affect the temperature sensitivity of streamflow.
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TanDEM-X digital elevation model (DEM) is a global DEM released by the German Aerospace Center (DLR) at outstanding resolution of 12 m. However, the procedure for its creation involves the combination of several DEMs from acquisitions spread between 2011 and 2014, which casts doubt on its value for precise glaciological change detection studies. In this work we present TanDEM-X DEM as a high-quality product ready for use in glaciological studies. We compare it to Aerial Laser Scanning (ALS)-based dataset from April 2013 (1 m), used as the ground-truth reference, and Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) V003 DEM and SRTM v3 DEM (both 30 m), serving as representations of past glacier states. We use a method of sub-pixel coregistration of DEMs by Nuth and Kääb (2011) to determine the geometric accuracy of the products. In addition, we propose a slope-aspect heatmap-based workflow to remove the errors resulting from radar shadowing over steep terrain. Elevation difference maps obtained by subtraction of DEMs are analyzed to obtain accuracy assessments and glacier mass balance reconstructions. The vertical accuracy (± standard deviation) of TanDEM-X DEM over non-glacierized area is very good at 0.02 ± 3.48 m. Nevertheless, steep areas introduce large errors and their filtering is required for reliable results. The 30 m version of TanDEM-X DEM performs worse than the finer product, but its accuracy, −0.08 ± 7.57 m, is better than that of SRTM and ASTER. The ASTER DEM contains errors, possibly resulting from imperfect DEM creation from stereopairs over uniform ice surface. Universidad Glacier has been losing mass at a rate of −0.44 ± 0.08 m of water equivalent per year between 2000 and 2013. This value is in general agreement with previously reported mass balance estimated with the glaciological method for 2012–2014.
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Abstract. Black carbon aerosol (BC), which is emitted from natural and anthropogenic sources (e.g., wildfires, coal burning), can contribute to magnify climate warming at high latitudes by darkening snow- and ice-covered surfaces, and subsequently lowering their albedo. Therefore, modeling the atmospheric transport and deposition of BC to the Arctic is important, and historical archives of BC accumulation in polar ice can help to validate such modeling efforts. Here we present a > 250-year ice-core record of refractory BC (rBC) deposition on Devon ice cap, Canada, spanning the years from 1735 to 1992. This is the first such record ever developed from the Canadian Arctic. The estimated mean deposition flux of rBC on Devon ice cap for 1963–1990 is 0.2 mg m−2 a−1, which is at the low end of estimates from Greenland ice cores obtained using the same analytical method ( ∼ 0.1–4 mg m−2 a−1). The Devon ice cap rBC record also differs from the Greenland records in that it shows only a modest increase in rBC deposition during the 20th century. In the Greenland records a pronounced rise in rBC is observed from the 1880s to the 1910s, which is largely attributed to midlatitude coal burning emissions. The deposition of contaminants such as sulfate and lead increased on Devon ice cap in the 20th century but no concomitant rise in rBC is recorded in the ice. Part of the difference with Greenland could be due to local factors such as melt–freeze cycles on Devon ice cap that may limit the detection sensitivity of rBC analyses in melt-impacted core samples, and wind scouring of winter snow at the coring site. Air back-trajectory analyses also suggest that Devon ice cap receives BC from more distant North American and Eurasian sources than Greenland, and aerosol mixing and removal during long-range transport over the Arctic Ocean likely masks some of the specific BC source–receptor relationships. Findings from this study suggest that there could be a large variability in BC aerosol deposition across the Arctic region arising from different transport patterns. This variability needs to be accounted for when estimating the large-scale albedo lowering effect of BC deposition on Arctic snow/ice.
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Reduced snow storage has been associated with lower river low flows in mountainous catchments, exacerbating summer hydrological droughts. However, the impacts of changing snow storage on summer low flows in low-elevation, snow-affected catchments has not yet been investigated. To address this knowledge gap, the dominant hydroclimate predictors of summer low flows were first identified through correlation analysis in 12 tributary catchments of the St. Lawrence River in the Canadian province of Quebec. The correlation results show that summer low flow is most sensitive to summer rainfall, while maximum snow water equivalent (SWE) is the dominant winter preconditioning factor of low flows, particularly at the end of summer. The multivariate sensitivity of summer low flow to hydroclimate predictors was then quantified by multilevel regression analysis, considering also the effect of catchment biophysical attributes. Accumulated rainfall since snow cover disappearance was found to be the prime control on summer low flow, as expected for the humid climate of Quebec. Maximum SWE had a secondary but significant positive influence on low flow, sometimes on the same order as the negative effect of evapotranspiration losses. As a whole, our results show that in these low elevation catchments, thicker winter snowpacks that last longer and melt slower in the spring are conducive to higher low flows in the following summer. More rugged and forested catchments with coarser soils were found to have higher summer low flows than flatter agricultural catchments with compacted clayed soils. This emphasizes the role of soils and geology on infiltration, aquifer recharge and related river baseflow in summer. Further climate warming and snowpack depletion could reduce future summer low flow, exacerbating hydrological droughts and impacting ecosystems integrity and ecological services.
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Estimating snowmelt in semi-arid mountain ranges is an important but challenging task, due to the large spatial variability of the snow cover and scarcity of field observations. Adding solar radiation as snowmelt predictor within empirical snow models is often done to account for topographically induced variations in melt rates. This study examines the added value of including different treatments of solar radiation within empirical snowmelt models and benchmarks their performance against MODIS snow cover area (SCA) maps over the 2003-2016 period. Three spatially distributed, enhanced temperature index models that, respectively, include the potential clear-sky direct radiation, the incoming solar radiation and net solar radiation were compared with a classical temperature-index (TI) model to simulate snowmelt, SWE and SCA within the Rheraya basin in the Moroccan High Atlas Range. Enhanced models, particularly that which includes net solar radiation, were found to better explain the observed SCA variability compared to the TI model. However, differences in model performance in simulating basin wide SWE and SCA were small. This occurs because topographically induced variations in melt rates simulated by the enhanced models tend to average out, a situation favored by the rather uniform distribution of slope aspects in the basin. While the enhanced models simulated more heterogeneous snow cover conditions, aggregating the simulated SCA from the 100 m model resolution towards the MODIS resolution (500 m) suppresses key spatial variability related to solar radiation, which attenuates the differences between the TI and the radiative models. Our findings call for caution when using MODIS for calibration and validation of spatially distributed snow models.
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In Nordic watersheds, estimation of the dynamics of snow water equivalent (SWE) represents a major step toward a satisfactory modeling of the annual hydrograph. For a multilayer, physically-based snow model like MASiN (Modèle Autonome de Simulation de la Neige), the number of modeled snow layers can affect the accuracy of the simulated SWE. The objective of this study was to identify the maximum number of snow layers (MNSL) that would define the trade-off between snowpack stratification and SWE modeling accuracy. Results indicated that decreasing the MNSL reduced the SWE modeling accuracy since the thermal energy balance and the mass balance were less accurately resolved by the model. Nevertheless, from a performance standpoint, SWE modeling can be accurate enough with a MNSL of two (2), with a substantial performance drop for a MNSL value of around nine (9). Additionally, the linear correlation between the values of the calibrated parameters and the MNSL indicated that reducing the latter in MASiN increased the fresh snow density and the settlement coefficient, while the maximum radiation coefficient decreased. In this case, MASiN favored the melting process, and thus the homogenization of snow layers occurred from the top layers of the snowpack in the modeling algorithm.
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<p>The applicability of the Canadian Precipitation Analysis products known as the Regional Deterministic Precipitation Analysis (CaPA-RDPA) for hydrological modelling in boreal watersheds in Canada, which are constrained with shortage of precipitation information, has been the subject of a number of recent studies. The northern and mid-cordilleran alpine, sub-alpine, and boreal watersheds in Yukon, Canada, are prime examples of such Nordic regions where any hydrological modelling application is greatly scrambled due to lack of accurate precipitation information. In the course of the past few years, proper advancements were tailored to resolve these challenges and a forecasting system was designed at the operational level for short- to medium-range flow and inflow forecasting in major watersheds of interest to Yukon Energy. This forecasting system merges the precipitation products from the North American Ensemble forecasting System (NAEFS) and recorded flows or reconstructed reservoir inflows into the HYDROTEL distributed hydrological model, using the Ensemble Kalman Filtering (EnKF) data assimilation technique. In order to alleviate the adverse effects of scarce precipitation information, the forecasting system also enjoys a snow data assimilation routine in which simulated snowpack water content is updated through a distributed snow correction scheme. Together, both data assimilation schemes offer the system with a framework to accurately estimate flow magnitudes. This robust system not only mitigates the adverse effects of meteorological data constrains in Yukon, but also offers an opportunity to investigate the hydrological footprint of CaPA-RDPA products in Yukon, which is exactly the motivation behind this presentation. However, our overall goal is much more comprehensive as we are trying to elucidate whether assimilating snow monitoring information in a distributed hydrological model could meet the flow estimation accuracy in sparsely gauged basins to the same extent that would be achieved through either (i) the application of precipitation analysis products, or (ii) expanding the meteorological network. A proper answer to this question would provide us with valuable information with respect to the robustness of the snow data assimilation routine in HYDROTEL and the intrinsic added-value of using CaPA-RDPA products in sparsely gauged basins of Yukon.</p>
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The water content of wetlands represents a key driver of their hydrological services and it is highly dependent on short- and long-term weather conditions, which will change, to some extent, under evolving climate conditions. The impact on stream flows of this critical dynamic component of wetlands remains poorly studied. While hydrodynamic modelling provide a framework to describe the functioning of individual wetland, hydrological modelling offers the opportunity to assess their services at the watershed scale with respect to their type (i.e., isolated or riparian). This study uses a novel approach combining hydrological modelling and limited field monitoring, to explore the effectiveness of wetlands under changing climate conditions. To achieve this, two isolated wetlands and two riparian wetlands, located in the Becancour River watershed within the St Lawrence Lowlands (Quebec, Canada), were monitored using piezometers and stable water isotopes (δD – δ18O) between October 2013 and October 2014. For the watershed hydrology component of this study, reference (1986–2015) and future meteorological data (2041–2070) were used as inputs to the PHYSITEL/HYDROTEL modelling platform. Results obtained from in-situ data illustrate singular hydrological dynamics for each typology of wetlands (i.e., isolated and riparian) and support the hydrological modelling approach used in this study. Meanwhile, simulation results indicate that climate change could affect differently the hydrological dynamics of wetlands and associated services (e.g., storage and slow release of water), including their seasonal contribution (i.e., flood mitigation and low flow support) according to each wetland typology. The methodological framework proposed in this paper meets the requirements of a functional tool capable of anticipating hydrological changes in wetlands at both the land management scale and the watershed management scale. Accordingly, this framework represents a starting point towards the design of effective wetland conservation and/or restoration programs.
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Ice control structures (ICSs) play a vital role in preventing ice jams and safeguarding communities by either stabilizing ice cover or relocating jams upstream. Understanding and modeling the interaction between ice floes and these structures is crucial for assessing their effectiveness and optimizing their designs. However, simulating these complex multi-physics systems poses challenges for numerical techniques. In this paper, we introduce and evaluate a fully-Lagrangian mesh-free continuum-discrete model based on the Smoothed Particles Hydrodynamics (SPH) method and Discrete Element Method (DEM) for three-dimensional (3D) simulation of ice interactions with control structures. To validate and parameterize the numerical model, we conduct two sets of experiments using real and artificial ice materials: (1) dam-break wave-ice-structure interaction and (2) ice-ICS interaction in an open channel. By comparing numerical and experimental results we demonstrate the capability and relative accuracy of our model. Our findings indicate that real ice generally exhibits faster jam evolution and ice passage through the ICS compared to artificial ice. Moreover, we identify the Froude number and ice material type as important factors influencing jam formation, evolution, and ICS effectiveness. Through sensitivity analysis of material properties, we highlight the significant impact of friction and restitution coefficients.