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This study uses remote sensing data to assess susceptibility to hazards, which are then validated to model impact scenarios for land subsidence and coastal flooding in the Integrated Coastal Zone Management (ICZM) of Selangor, Malaysia, to support decision-making in urban planning and land management. Land subsidence and coastal floods affect a major proportion of the population in the ICZM, with subsidence being significant contributing factors, but information on the extent of susceptible areas, monitoring, and wide-area coverage is limited. Land subsidence distribution is demarcated using Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) time-series data (2015–2022), and integrated with coastal flood susceptibility derived from Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)-based weights to model impacts on land cover. Results indicate maximum subsidence rates of 46 mm/year (descending orbit) and 61 mm/year (ascending orbit); reflecting a gradual increase in subsidence trends with an average rate of 13 mm/year. In the worst-case scenario, within the ICZM area of 2262 km2, nearly 12% of the total built-up land cover with the highest population density is exposed to land subsidence, while exposure to coastal floods is relatively larger, covering nearly 34% of the built-up area. Almost 27% of the built-up area is exposed to the combined effects of both land subsidence and coastal floods, under present sea level conditions, with increasing risks of coastal floods over 2040, 2050 and 2100, due to both combinations. This research prioritizes areas for further study and provides a scientific foundation for resilience strategies aimed at ensuring sustainable coastal development within the ICZM. © 2025 by the authors.
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Coastal high tide flooding doubled in the U.S. between 2000 and 2022 and sea level rise (SLR) due to climate change will dramatically increase exposure and vulnerability to flooding in the future. However, standards for elevating buildings in flood hazard areas, such as base flood elevations set by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, are based on historical flood data and do not account for future SLR. To increase flood resilience in flood hazard areas, federal, state, regional, and municipal planning initiatives are developing guidance to increase elevation requirements for occupied spaces in buildings. However, methods to establish a flood elevation that specifically accounts for rising sea levels (or sea level rise-adjusted design flood elevation (SLR-DFE)) are not standardized. Many municipalities or designers lack clear guidance on developing or incorporating SLR-DFEs. This study compares guidance documents, policies, and methods for establishing an SLR-DFE. The authors found that the initiatives vary in author, water level measurement starting point, SLR scenario and timeframe, SLR adjustment, freeboard, design flood elevation, application (geography and building type), and whether it is required or recommended. The tables and graph compare the different initiatives, providing a useful summary for policymakers and practitioners to develop SLR-DFE standards. © 2025 by the authors.
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In the context of the global climate crisis, the analysis and strengthening of adaptive capacities in coastal urban environments has become imperative. Nearly 40% of the global population lives within 100 km of the coastline, making them critical research hotspots due to their particular vulnerability. This qualitative literature review takes a transdisciplinary approach and prioritizes research that addresses specific challenges and solutions for these vulnerable environments, with an emphasis on resilience to phenomena such as sea level rise, flooding and extreme weather events. The review analyzes articles that offer a holistic view, encompassing green and blue infrastructures, community needs and governance dynamics. It highlights studies that propose innovative strategies to foster citizen participation and explicitly address aspects such as climate justice. By synthesizing interdisciplinary perspectives and local knowledge, this review aims to provide a comprehensive framework for climate adaptation in coastal urban areas. The findings have the potential to inform public policy and urban planning practices. © The Author(s) 2025.
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Urban flood disasters pose substantial threats to public safety and urban development, with climate change exacerbating the intensity, frequency, and consequences of such events. While existing research has predominantly concentrated on flood control and disaster response, limited attention has been paid to the underlying drivers and evolutionary mechanisms of urban flood resilience. This study applies the resilience framework to develop an integrated methodology for assessing urban flood resilience. Focusing on three coastal provinces in China that frequently experience severe flooding, the study identifies fifteen key resilience drivers to construct a compound driver system. The evolution of flood resilience is examined through the lens of the Pressure-State-Response (PSR) model, which categorizes the drivers into three distinct dimensions. The Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) and Interpretative Structural Model (ISM) methods are employed to analyze the interrelationships and hierarchical structure among drivers. In parallel, a system dynamics (SD) modeling approach is used to construct causal-loop and stock-flow diagrams, revealing the complex interdependencies and critical pathways across resilience dimensions. The analysis identifies rainfall intensity as the most influential driver in shaping urban flood resilience. Scenario simulations based on the SD model explore variations in resilience performance under three developmental pathways. Findings suggest that enhancing response resilience is crucial under current flood control trajectories. This study contributes novel conceptual and methodological insights into the measurement and evolution of urban flood resilience. It offers actionable guidance for policymakers aiming to strengthen flood risk governance and urban safety. © 2025 Elsevier Ltd
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Losses from floods and the wide range of impacts have been at the forefront of hazard-triggered disasters in China. Affected by large-scale human activities and the environmental evolution, China’s defense flood situation is undergoing significant changes. This paper constructs a comprehensive flood disaster risk assessment model through systematic analysis of four key factors—hazard (H), exposure (E), susceptibility/sensitivity (S), and disaster prevention capabilities (C)—and establishes an evaluation index system. Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), we determined indicator weights and quantified flood risk via the following formula R = H × E × V × C. After we applied this model to 16 towns in coastal Zhejiang Province, the results reveal three distinct risk tiers: low (R < 0.04), medium (0.04 ≤ R ≤ 0.1), and high (R > 0.1). High-risk areas (e.g., Longxi and Shitang towns) are primarily constrained by natural hazards and socioeconomic vulnerability, while low-risk towns benefit from a robust disaster mitigation capacity. Risk typology analysis further classifies towns into natural, social–structural, capacity-driven, or mixed profiles, providing granular insights for targeted flood management. The spatial risk distribution offers a scientific basis for optimizing flood control planning and resource allocation in the district. © 2025 by the authors.
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Extreme weather events (EWEs), including floods, droughts, heatwaves and storms, are increasingly recognised as major drivers of biodiversity loss and ecosystem degradation. In this systematic review, we synthesise 251 studies documenting the impacts of extreme weather events on freshwater, terrestrial and marine ecosystems, with the goal of informing effective conservation and management strategies for areas of special conservation or protection focus in Ireland.Twenty-two of the reviewed studies included Irish ecosystems. In freshwater systems, flooding (34 studies) was the most studied EWE, often linked to declines in species richness, abundance and ecosystem function. In terrestrial ecosystems, studies predominantly addressed droughts (60 studies) and extreme temperatures (48 studies), with impacts including increase in mortality, decline in growth and shift in species composition. Marine and coastal studies focused largely on storm events (33 studies), highlighting physical damages linked to wave actions, behavioural changes in macrofauna, changes in species composition and distribution, and loss in habitat cover. Results indicate that most EWEs lead to negative ecological responses, although responses are context specific.While positive responses to EWEs are rare, species with adaptive traits displayed some resilience, especially in ecosystems with high biodiversity or refuge areas.These findings underscore the need for conservation strategies that incorporate EWE projections, particularly for protected habitats and species. © 2025 Royal Irish Academy. All rights reserved.
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AbstractThe frequency and severity of floods has increased in different regions of the world due to climate change. Although the impact of floods on human health has been extensively studied, the increase in the segments of the population that are likely to be impacted by floods in the future makes it necessary to examine how adaptation measures impact the mental health of individuals affected by these natural disasters. The goal of this scoping review is to document the existing studies on flood adaptation measures and their impact on the mental health of affected populations, in order to identify the best preventive strategies as well as limitations that deserve further exploration. This study employed the methodology of the PRISMA-ScR extension for scoping reviews to systematically search the databases Medline and Web of Science to identify studies that examined the impact of adaptation measures on the mental health of flood victims. The database queries resulted in a total of 857 records from both databases. Following two rounds of screening, 9 studies were included for full-text analysis. Most of the analyzed studies sought to identify the factors that drive resilience in flood victims, particularly in the context of social capital (6 studies), whereas the remaining studies analyzed the impact of external interventions on the mental health of flood victims, either from preventive or post-disaster measures (3 studies). There is a very limited number of studies that analyze the impact of adaptation measures on the mental health of populations and individuals affected by floods, which complicates the generalizability of their findings. There is a need for public health policies and guidelines for the development of flood adaptation measures that adequately consider a social component that can be used to support the mental health of flood victims.
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Coastal areas are particularly vulnerable to flooding from heavy rainfall, sea storm surge, or a combination of the two. Recent studies project higher intensity and frequency of heavy rains, and progressive sea level rise continuing over the next decades. Pre-emptive and optimal flood defense policies that adaptively address climate change are needed. However, future climate projections have significant uncertainty due to multiple factors: (a) future CO2 emission scenarios; (b) uncertainties in climate modelling; (c) discount factor changes due to market fluctuations; (d) uncertain migration and population growth dynamics. Here, a methodology is proposed to identify the optimal design and timing of flood defense structures in which uncertainties in 21st century climate projections are explicitly considered probabilistically. A multi-objective optimization model is developed to minimize both the cost of the flood defence infrastructure system and the flooding hydraulic risk expressed by Expected Annual Damage (EAD). The decision variables of the multi-objective optimization problem are the size of defence system and the timing of implementation. The model accounts for the joint probability density functions of extreme rainfall, storm surge and sea level rise, as well as the damages, which are determined dynamically by the defence system state considering the probability and consequences of system failure, using a water depth–damage curve related to the land use (Corine Land Cover); water depth due to flooding are calculated by hydraulic model. A new dominant sorting genetic algorithm (NSGAII) is used to solve the multi-objective problem optimization. A case study is presented for the Pontina Plain (Lazio Italy), a coastal region, originally a swamp reclaimed about a hundred years ago, that is rich in urban centers and farms. A set of optimal adaptation policies, quantifying size and timing of flood defence constructions for different climate scenarios and belonging to the Pareto curve obtained by the NSGAII are identified for such a case study to mitigate the risk of flooding and to aid decision makers.
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Combined sewer surcharges in densely urbanized areas have become more frequent due to the expansion of impervious surfaces and intensified precipitation caused by climate change. These surcharges can generate system overflows, causing urban flooding and pollution of urban areas. This paper presents a novel methodology to mitigate sewer system surcharges and control surface water. In this methodology, flow control devices and urban landscape retrofitting are proposed as strategies to reduce water inflow into the sewer network and manage excess water on the surface during extreme rainfall events. For this purpose, a 1D/2D dual drainage model was developed for two case studies located in Montreal, Canada. Applying the proposed methodology to these two sites led to a reduction of the volume of wastewater overflows by 100% and 86%, and a decrease in the number of surface overflows by 100% and 71%, respectively, at the two sites for a 100-year return period 3-h Chicago design rainfall. It also controlled the extent of flooding, reduced the volume of uncontrolled surface floods by 78% and 80% and decreased flooded areas by 68% and 42%, respectively, at the two sites for the same design rainfall.
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Climate change and more frequent severe storms have caused persistent flooding, storm surges, and erosion in the northeastern coastal region of the United States. These weather-related disasters have continued to generate negative environmental consequences across many communities. This study examined how coastal residents’ exposure to flood risk information and information seeking behavior were related to their threat appraisal, threat-coping efficacy, and participation in community action in the context of building social resilience. A random sample of residents of a coastal community in the Northeastern United States was selected to participate in an online survey (N = 302). Key study results suggested that while offline news exposure was weakly related to flood vulnerability perception, online news exposure and mobile app use were both weakly associated with flood-risk information seeking. As flood vulnerability perception was strongly connected to flood severity perception but weakly linked to lower self-efficacy beliefs, flood severity perception was weakly and moderately associated with response-efficacy beliefs and information seeking, respectively. Furthermore, self-efficacy beliefs, response efficacy beliefs, and flood-risk information seeking were each a weak or moderate predictor of collective efficacy beliefs. Lastly, flood risk information-seeking was a strong predictor and collective efficacy beliefs were a weak predictor of community action for flood-risk management. This study tested a conceptual model that integrated the constructs from risk communication, information seeking, and protection motivation theory. Based on the modeling results reflecting a set of first-time findings, theoretical and practical implications are discussed.
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L’adaptation au changement climatique est un nouvel enjeu pour la gestion des territoires. Au niveau local, elle apparaît souvent comme une injonction, alors même que, pour l’instant, elle est un concept flou. Elle est présentée comme l’application de bonnes pratiques, mais les questions « qui s’adapte à quoi ? » et « pourquoi ? » demeurent implicites. En explicitant ces éléments, nous proposons de montrer que l’adaptation est une question plurielle et politique. À partir de l’analyse des documents de planification et des plans d’action faisant référence aux changements globaux sur un territoire littoral, nous montrons l’existence de quatre logiques d’adaptation distinctes, plus ou moins transformatrices du système socioécologique, que l’on peut appréhender à partir de la typologie suivante : « contrôler et maintenir », « faire faire », « réguler » et « reconfigurer », qui portent en germe différentes reconfigurations socioéconomiques et politiques. , Since the 2000s, “adaptation” is a new dictate for the management of local territories in France, but its implementation is fairly limited. Adaptation is mainly a semantically unclear and loosely defined concept. Decision-makers could “operationalize” adaptation by simply applying a specific methodology. However, adaptation is not a mere mechanism; it is also a process that implies economic, social and ecological trade-offs for the socio-ecological system. These political dimensions are often unformulated. In order to provide a vehicle to clarify this concept and its political dimensions, we propose a typology of adaptation measures. What does adaptation mean? Adjustment of what (territories, populations, communities, local economies, etc.), to what (climate change, global change) and with what effects? We reviewed local actions and strategic plans related to climate but also to urban planning, flooding and water management on the eastern coastal area of Languedoc Roussillon in Mediterranean France. We conducted and analyzed semi-structured interviews with institutional actors. We analyzed and classified public policy instruments, associated the underlying “logic” (raise limiting factors, create a new awareness, etc.), and their potential effects. Throughout our effort to develop a typology, we have highlighted the political dimensions of adaptation actions and shed a light on trade-offs linked to adaptation choices.
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Nature-based Solutions (NbS) for coastal protection have been widely recognized as sustainable, economical, and eco-friendly alternatives to conventional grey structures, particularly under the threat of climate change (Temmerman et al., 2013). Living shorelines are a form of NbS, which incorporate natural elements (such as saltmarshes) that provide flood and erosion risk management benefits. Climate change impacts, such as rising sea levels and reducing sea-ice cover (Savard et al., 2016), are increasingly motivating communities in Canada to consider incorporating living shorelines in coastal protection schemes. The efficacy of wave energy dissipation by vegetation depends on both hydrodynamic conditions and plant characteristics. However, plant parameters, such as standing biomass exhibit seasonal fluctuations, leading to corresponding variations in attenuation capacity (Schulze et al., 2019). Hence, the design of NbS utilizing saltmarsh vegetation must account for seasonal variations to ensure sustained efficacy, especially within the context of Canadian regional climates, which are typically characterized by extended, stormy winters and shorter summer seasons. Few studies have quantified wave attenuation by real saltmarsh vegetation in large-scale laboratory facilities (Möller et al., 2014; Maza et al., 2015; Ghodoosipour et al., 2022), particularly for species native to the east coast of Canada. There is a knowledge gap on how seasonality affects wave attenuation by saltmarsh vegetation and how attenuation varies from the lower marsh to the higher marsh depending on species-specific plant traits. Research is needed to bridge this gap and develop technical guidance for the design of performant living shorelines in Canada.
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Despite the prognoses of the effects of global warming (e.g., rising sea levels, increasing river discharges), few international studies have addressed how flood preparedness should be stimulated among private citizens. This article aims to predict Dutch citizens’ flood preparedness intentions by testing a path model, including previous flood hazard experiences, trust in public flood protection, and flood risk perceptions (both affective and cognitive components). Data were collected through questionnaire surveys in two coastal communities ( n = 169, n = 244) and in one river area community ( n = 658). Causal relations were tested by means of structural equation modeling (SEM). Overall, the results indicate that both cognitive and affective mechanisms influence citizens’ preparedness intentions. First, a higher level of trust reduces citizens’ perceptions of flood likelihood, which in turn hampers their flood preparedness intentions (cognitive route). Second, trust also lessens the amount of dread evoked by flood risk, which in turn impedes flood preparedness intentions (affective route). Moreover, the affective route showed that levels of dread were especially influenced by citizens’ negative and positive emotions related to their previous flood hazard experiences. Negative emotions most often reflected fear and powerlessness, while positive emotions most frequently reflected feelings of solidarity. The results are consistent with the affect heuristic and the historical context of Dutch flood risk management. The great challenge for flood risk management is the accommodation of both cognitive and affective mechanisms in risk communications, especially when most people lack an emotional basis stemming from previous flood hazard events.
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Abstract It is undeniable that coastal regions worldwide are facing unprecedented damages from catastrophic floods attributable to storm-tide (tidal) and extreme rainfall (pluvial). For flood-risk assessment, although recognizing compound impact of these drivers is a conventional practice, the marginal/individual impacts cannot be overlooked. In this letter, we propose a new measure, Tide-Rainfall Flood Quotient (TRFQ), to quantify the driver-specific flood potential of a coastal region arising from storm-tide or rainfall. A set of inundation and hazard maps are derived through a series of numerical and hydrodynamic flood model simulations comprising of design rainfall and design storm-tide. These experiments are demonstrated on three different geographically diverse flood-affected coastal regions in India. The new measure throws light on existing knowledge gaps on the propensity of coastal flooding induced by the marginal/individual contribution of storm-tide and rainfall. It shall prove useful in rationalizing long-term flood management strategies customizable for storm-tide and pluvial dominated global coastal regions.
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This study discusses the flooding related consequences of climate change on most populous Canadian cities and flow regulation infrastructure (FRI). The discussion is based on the aggregated results of historical and projected future flooding frequencies and flood timing as generated by Canada-wide hydrodynamic modelling in a previous study. Impact assessment on 100 most populous Canadian cities indicate that future flooding frequencies in some of the most populous cities such as Toronto and Montreal can be expected to increase from 100 (250) years to 15 (22) years by the end of the 21st century making these cities highest at risk to projected changes in flooding frequencies as a consequence of climate change. Overall 40–60% of the analyzed cities are found to be associated with future increases in flooding frequencies and associated increases in flood hazard and flood risk. The flooding related impacts of climate change on 1072 FRIs located across Canada are assessed both in terms of projected changes in future flooding frequencies and changes in flood timings. Results suggest that 40–50% of the FRIs especially those located in southern Ontario, western coastal regions, and northern regions of Canada can be expected to experience future increases in flooding frequencies. FRIs located in many of these regions are also projected to experience future changes in flood timing underlining that operating rules for those FRIs may need to be reassessed to make them resilient to changing climate.
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This study presents the first nationwide spatial assessment of flood risk to identify social vulnerability and flood exposure hotspots that support policies aimed at protecting high-risk populations and geographical regions of Canada. The study used a national-scale flood hazard dataset (pluvial, fluvial, and coastal) to estimate a 1-in-100-year flood exposure of all residential properties across 5721 census tracts. Residential flood exposure data were spatially integrated with a census-based multidimensional social vulnerability index (SoVI) that included demographic, racial/ethnic, and socioeconomic indicators influencing vulnerability. Using Bivariate Local Indicators of Spatial Association (BiLISA) cluster maps, the study identified geographic concentration of flood risk hotspots where high vulnerability coincided with high flood exposure. The results revealed considerable spatial variations in tract-level social vulnerability and flood exposure. Flood risk hotspots belonged to 410 census tracts, 21 census metropolitan areas, and eight provinces comprising about 1.7 million of the total population and 51% of half-a-million residential properties in Canada. Results identify populations and the geographic regions near the core and dense urban areas predominantly occupying those hotspots. Recognizing priority locations is critically important for government interventions and risk mitigation initiatives considering socio-physical aspects of vulnerability to flooding. Findings reinforce a better understanding of geographic flood-disadvantaged neighborhoods across Canada, where interventions are required to target preparedness, response, and recovery resources that foster socially just flood management strategies.