Bibliographie complète
Application of machine learning methods for paleoclimatic reconstructions from leaf traits
Type de ressource
Auteurs/contributeurs
- Wei, Gang (Auteur)
- Peng, Changhui (Auteur)
- Zhu, Qiuan (Auteur)
- Zhou, Xiaolu (Auteur)
- Yang, Bin (Auteur)
Titre
Application of machine learning methods for paleoclimatic reconstructions from leaf traits
Résumé
Abstract
Digital leaf physiognomy (DLP) is considered as one of the most promising methods for estimating past climate. However, current models built using the DLP data set still lack precision, especially for mean annual precipitation (MAP). To improve predictive power, we developed five machine learning (ML) models for mean annual temperature (MAT) and MAP respectively, and then tested the precision of these models and some of their averaging compared with that obtained from other models. The precision of all models was assessed using a repeated stratified 10‐fold cross‐validation. For MAT, three combinations of models (
R
2
= .77) presented moderate improvements in precision over the multiple linear regression (MLR) model (
R
2
= .68). For log
e
(MAP), the averaging of the support vector machine (SVM) and boosting models improved the
R
2
from .19 to .63 compared with that of the MLR model. For MAP, the
R
2
of this model combination was 0.49, which was much better than that of the artificial neural network (ANN) model (
R
2
= .21). Even the bagging model, which had the lowest
R
2
(.37) for log
e
(MAP), demonstrated better precision (
R
2
= .27) for MAP. Our palaeoclimate estimates for nine fossil floras were also more accurate, because they were in better agreement with independent paleoclimate evidence. Our study confirms that our ML models and their averaging can improve paleoclimatic reconstructions, providing a better understanding of the relationship between climate and leaf physiognomy.
Publication
International Journal of Climatology
Volume
41
Numéro
S1
Date
01/2021
Abrév. de revue
Intl Journal of Climatology
Langue
en
DOI
ISSN
0899-8418, 1097-0088
Consulté le
13/08/2024 13:52
Catalogue de bibl.
DOI.org (Crossref)
Référence
Wei, G., Peng, C., Zhu, Q., Zhou, X., & Yang, B. (2021). Application of machine learning methods for paleoclimatic reconstructions from leaf traits. International Journal of Climatology, 41(S1). https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6921
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