Bibliographie complète
A 50-year cycle of sea surface temperature regulates decadal precipitation in the tropical and South Atlantic region
Type de ressource
Auteurs/contributeurs
- Gorenstein, Iuri (Auteur)
- Wainer, Ilana (Auteur)
- Pausata, Francesco S. R. (Auteur)
- Prado, Luciana F. (Auteur)
- Khodri, Myriam (Auteur)
- Dias, Pedro L. Silva (Auteur)
Titre
A 50-year cycle of sea surface temperature regulates decadal precipitation in the tropical and South Atlantic region
Résumé
Abstract
Northeast Brazil and Western Africa are two regions geographically separated by the Atlantic Ocean, both home to vulnerable populations living in semi-arid areas. Atlantic Ocean modes of variability and their interactions with the atmosphere are the main drivers of decadal precipitation in these Atlantic Ocean coastal areas. How these low-frequency modes of variability evolve and interact with each other is key to understanding and predicting decadal precipitation. Here we use the Self-Organizing Maps neural network with different variables to unravel causality between the Atlantic modes of variability and their interactions with the atmosphere. Our study finds an 82% (p<0.05) anti-correlation between decadal rainfall in Northeast Brazil and Western Africa from 1979 to 2005. We also find three multi-decadal cycles: 1870-1920, 1920-1970, and 1970-2019 (satellite era), pointing to a 50-year periodicity governing the sea surface temperature anomalies of Tropical and South Atlantic. Our results demonstrate how Northeast Brazil and Western Africa rainfall anti-correlation was formed in the satellite era and how it might be part of a 50-year cycle from the Tropical and South Atlantic decadal variability.
Publication
Communications Earth & Environment
Volume
4
Numéro
1
Pages
427
Date
2023-11-21
Abrév. de revue
Commun Earth Environ
Langue
en
ISSN
2662-4435
Consulté le
06/11/2024 16:49
Catalogue de bibl.
DOI.org (Crossref)
Référence
Gorenstein, I., Wainer, I., Pausata, F. S. R., Prado, L. F., Khodri, M., & Dias, P. L. S. (2023). A 50-year cycle of sea surface temperature regulates decadal precipitation in the tropical and South Atlantic region. Communications Earth & Environment, 4(1), 427. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01073-0
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