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Climate change scenarios established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change have developed a significant tool for analyzing, modeling, and predicting future climate change impacts in different research fields after more than 30 years of development and refinement. In the wake of future climate change, the changes in forest structure and functions have become a frontier and focal area of global change research. This study mainly reviews and synthesizes climate change scenarios and their applications in forest ecosystem research over the past decade. These applications include changes in (1) forest structure and spatial vegetation distribution, (2) ecosystem structure, (3) ecosystem services, and (4) ecosystem stability. Although climate change scenarios are useful for predicting future climate change impacts on forest ecosystems, the accuracy of model simulations needs to be further improved. Based on existing studies, climate change scenarios are used in future simulation applications to construct a biomonitoring network platform integrating observations and predictions for better conservation of species diversity.
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Abstract Wetlands play a critical role in mitigating carbon emission. However, little is known about soil carbon emission and their environmental controls from inland floodplain wetlands. This study aimed to determine the effects of hydrologic and edaphic controllers (water table depth [ WTD ], soil temperature [ Ts ], and soil water content [ SWC ]) on soil C emission in Dongting Lake wetland, China. One‐year emissions were measured in Carex meadow and mudflat using static chambers during 2013 to 2014, including nonflooded season ( NFs ) and flooded season ( Fs ). The results showed that soil C emission in the Carex meadow and mudflat was 307.8 and 264.3 g C·m −2 ·year −1 , respectively, and 50–66% of soil C were emitted during NFs. Compared with NFs, CO 2 emission was significantly decreased by 57% but CH 4 emission was significantly increased by 38 times during Fs in the Carex meadow. Stepwise regression combined with structural equation model analysis showed that CO 2 and CH 4 flux were mainly influenced by Ts during NFs, and they were controlled by water temperature ( Tw ) during Fs. During NFs, CO 2 flux increased with increasing Ts and SWC but decreased significantly when SWC was over 66% and 52% in the Carex meadow and mudflat, respectively. CH 4 flux showed an emission pulse at SWC and Ts of 65% and 17.2 °C, respectively. These results indicate that flooding significantly inhibited soil CO 2 emission but stimulated CH 4 emission. The continuous decrease of flooding days caused by anthropogenic disturbances may induce soil C loss in Dongting Lake wetlands. , Key Points Soil C emission in Dongting Lake floodplain was 264.3–307.8 g C.m ‐2 .year ‐1 Flooding significantly inhibited soil CO 2 emission but stimulated CH 4 emission The decline of flooding days in Dongting Lake wetlands can potentially increase soil C loss