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Abstract This study investigates the seasonality of near‐surface wind speeds associated with extratropical cyclones (ETCs) over northeastern North America using a global reanalysis data set during 1979–2020. As opposed to most studies that emphasize winter storms, ETCs during the fall exhibit significantly stronger 10‐m winds over this region due to the slightly stronger continental cyclones and significantly weaker low‐level stability during that time of the year. Also, ETCs favor inland lakes and Hudson Bay during the low‐ice‐content fall season, leading to lower surface roughness. Combining these results, we derive simple linear regressions to predict the 10‐m wind speed given three variables: 850‐hPa wind speed, low‐level Richardson number, and surface roughness length. This formula captures the observed seasonality and serves as a valuable tool for cyclone near‐surface wind risk assessment. , Plain Language Summary Extratropical cyclones can bring powerful winds that can cause severe damage to infrastructure. We find that cyclones with severe winds are the most frequent in the fall season over continental northeastern North America. Three reasons are found responsible: stronger continental cyclones, weaker low‐level atmospheric stability, and the lower surface roughness over lakes and Hudson Bay, where cyclones frequently occur in fall. A simple formula that can effectively assess the near‐surface wind speeds associated with cyclones is derived based on these results. , Key Points Extratropical‐cyclone‐associated 10‐m wind speeds are the strongest in the fall season over northeastern North America Besides stronger continental cyclones and 850‐hPa winds, weaker low‐level stability in fall favors stronger 10‐m wind speeds in this region Linear regression using 850‐hPa wind, Richardson number, and surface roughness well predicts cyclones' 10‐m wind speeds and seasonality
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Abstract Freezing rain events have caused severe socioeconomic and ecosystem impacts. An understanding of how these events may evolve as the Earth warms is necessary to adequately adapt infrastructure to these changes. We present an analysis of projected changes to freezing rain events over North America relative to the 1980–2009 recent past climate for the periods during which +2, +3, and +4°C of global warming is attained. We diagnose freezing rain using four precipitation‐type algorithms (Cantin and Bachand, Bourgouin, Ramer, and Baldwin) applied to four simulations of the fifth‐generation Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM5) driven by four global climate models (GCMs). We find that the choice of driving GCM strongly influences the spatial pattern of projected change. The choice of algorithm has a comparatively smaller impact, and primarily affects the magnitude but not the sign of projected change. We identify several regions where all simulations and algorithms agree on the sign of change, with increases projected over portions of western Canada and decreases over the central, eastern, and southern United States. However, we also find large regions of disagreement on the sign of change depending on driving GCM and even ensemble member of the same GCM, highlighting the importance of examining freezing rain events in a multi‐member ensemble of simulations driven by multiple GCMs to sufficiently account for uncertainty in projections of these hazardous events. , Plain Language Summary Freezing rain events, or ice storms, can have major impacts on electrical infrastructure, agriculture, and road and air travel. Despite these impacts, relatively little research has been done on how these events may change as the Earth warms. We therefore examine several climate model simulations to determine how the frequency of freezing rain may change at different levels of future global warming. We focus in particular on how sensitive the projected changes are to the method used to identify freezing rain in the model output, as well as to the choice of climate model used to produce the projections. We find strong agreement among methods and models on a decrease in freezing rain frequency over much of the United States (from Texas northeastward to Maine) and an increase in freezing rain frequency over portions of western Canada (Alberta, Saskatchewan, Manitoba). In many other areas, however, the different methods and simulations disagree on the direction of projected change. Our findings highlight the importance of using many different climate models, rather than single simulations, to paint a clearer picture of the level of certainty in projections of freezing rain in the context of global warming. , Key Points Freezing rain is projected to increase in frequency over portions of western and central Canada and decrease over most of the United States The sign of projected changes is not highly sensitive to the precipitation‐type algorithm used to diagnose freezing rain The choice of driving global climate model is a key source of uncertainty in both the sign and magnitude of projected changes
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This dataset contains output of yearly frequencies (hours) of freezing rain identified using four precipitation-type algorithms applied to output of the fifth-generation Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM5) run at Ouranos. Algorithms are applied to three-hourly output of eight simulations of four dynamically-downscaled global climate models (GCMs) on a 0.22° horizontal grid over the North American domain. Simulations for 1980-2005 are forced with observed greenhouse gas concentrations, with data for 2006-2099 using the RCP 8.5 greenhouse gas concentration trajectory. Each occurrence of freezing rain identified in the model output is multiplied by 3 for comparison with hourly observations. These data are associated with the article "A multi-algorithm analysis of projected changes to freezing rain over North America in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations" by McCray et al., submitted in 2022 to the Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres.
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This dataset contains raw data collected from an OTT Parsivel laser disdrometer installed at a climate sentinel (Arboretum) in the Saint Lawrence River Valley. The data is available from 1 Nov 2021 to 31 March 2022 (inclusive) to support the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multi-Scale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX). The instrument provides histograms of hydrometeor size and fallspeed. The Arboretum site is located on the southwestern tip of Montreal Island near the confluence of the Ottawa River and the St. Lawrence River. Several other sites also collected Parsivel data during WINTRE-MIX.
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This dataset contains raw data collected from an OTT Parsivel laser disdrometer installed at a climate sentinel (Gault) in the Saint Lawrence River Valley The data is available from 1 Nov 2021 to 31 March 2022 (inclusive) to support the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multi-Scale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX). The instrument provides histograms of hydrometeor size and fallspeed. The Gault site is located behind Mont-Saint-Hilaire, about an hour’s drive east of Montreal. Other sites also collected Parsivel data during WINTRE-MIX.
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This dataset contains ice thickness data collected by ice detectors installed at various climate sentinels within the Saint Lawrence River Valley for the WINTRE-MIX field project. The names of four stations for which ice accretion data are available in ‘CFI_Climate_Sentinels_Icing_Detector_Data.nc’ are given in Table 1 of the readme documentation, along with their corresponding four-letter identifiers.
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This dataset includes hotplate precipitation gauge data from 4 different sites sitting in the St. Lawrence River Valley. The hotplate data were obtained by the K63 Hotplate Total Precipitation Gauge. The instruments belonged to Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM) and McGill University. UQAM has one hotplate permanently installed on the rooftop of the President-Kennedy building, in downtown Montreal. Another hotplate was temporarily deployed by the UQAM team in the instrument yard of UQTR as part of the WINTRE-MIX field campaign. McGill’s instruments are permanently installed in the instrument yards of Gault and Arboretum.
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This dataset includes snow depth and snow water equivalent data from 4 sites in the St. Lawrence River Valley collected for the WINTRE-MIX field project. The snow depth data were obtained by the SDMS40: Multipoint Scanning Snowfall Sensor and the SR50A Snow-Depth Sensor. The CS725 Snow-Water Equivalent Sensor measured the snow water equivalent data. This dataset includes measurements done at 4 different sites: UQAM-PK (UQAM), Trois-Rivières, Gault and Arboretum.
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Abstract Accurate snowfall measurements are necessary for meteorology, hydrology, and climate research. Typical uses include creating and calibrating gridded precipitation products, the verification of model simulations, driving hydrologic models, input into aircraft deicing processes, and estimating streamflow runoff in the spring. These applications are significantly impacted by errors in solid precipitation measurements. The recent WMO Solid Precipitation Intercomparison Experiment (SPICE) attempted to characterize and reduce some of the measurement uncertainties through an international effort involving 15 countries utilizing over 20 types and models of precipitation gauges from various manufacturers. Key results from WMO-SPICE are presented herein. Recent work and future research opportunities that build on the results of WMO-SPICE are also highlighted.
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This dataset contains raw data from a METEK vertically profiling K-band Micro Rain Radar (MRR-2) installed at the climate sentinel in the Arboretum forest reserve (ARBO), about 30 km west of Montréal downtown, Québec, Canada. The data were collected as part of the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multi-scale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX) field project held in February and March of 2022. The instrument used to collect the data in this dataset provides vertical profiles of reflectivity, Doppler velocity, and spectrum width. The site is located near the confluence of the Ottawa River and the St. Lawrence River. Several other sites also collected MRR data during WINTRE-MIX.
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This dataset contains post-processed data from a METEK vertically profiling K-band Micro Rain Radar (MRR-2) installed at the climate sentinel in the Gault Nature Reserve (GAUL), about 30 km east of Montréal, Québec. The data were collected as part of the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multi-scale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX) field project held in February and March of 2022. The instrument provides vertical profiles of reflectivity, Doppler velocity, and spectrum width. The site is located at the southern flank of Mont-Saint-Hilaire, a mountain with an elevation of about 400 m (above mean sea-level). Several other sites also collected MRR data during WINTRE-MIX.
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This dataset contains raw data from a METEK vertically profiling K-band Micro Rain Radar (MRR-2) installed at the climate sentinel in the Gault Nature Reserve (GAUL), about 30 km east of Montréal, Québec.The data were collected as part of the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multi-scale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX) field project held in February and March of 2022. The instrument provides vertical profiles of reflectivity, Doppler velocity, and spectrum width. The site is located at the southern flank of Mont-Saint-Hilaire, a mountain with an elevation of about 400 m (above mean sea-level). Several other sites also collected MRR data during WINTRE-MIX.
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This dataset contains data from a METEK vertically profiling K-band Micro Rain Radar Pro (MRR-Pro) that was temporarily installed at the Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières (UQTR) campus during February and March 2022 to support the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multi-Scale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX). The instrument provides vertical profiles of reflectivity, Doppler velocity, and spectrum width. The site sits in the St. Lawrence River Valley. Several other sites also collected MRR data during WINTRE-MIX.
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This dataset contains processed data from a METEK vertically profiling K-band Micro Rain Radar (MRR-2) permanently installed on the rooftop of UQAM President-Kennedy building in Montréal downtown, Québec. The instrument provides vertical profiles of reflectivity, Doppler velocity, and spectrum width. The site sits in the St. Lawrence River Valley. Several other sites also collected MRR data during WINTRE-MIX.
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This dataset contains raw data from a METEK vertically profiling K-band Micro Rain Radar (MRR-2) permanently installed on the rooftop of UQAM President-Kennedy building in Montréal downtown, Québec. The instrument provides vertical profiles of reflectivity, Doppler velocity, and spectrum width. The site sits in the St. Lawrence River Valley. Several other sites also collected MRR data during WINTRE-MIX.
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This dataset contains raw data from an OTT Parsivel laser disdrometer permanently installed on the rooftop of UQAM President-Kennedy building in Montréal downtown, Québec. The instrument provides histograms of hydrometeor size and fallspeed. The site sits in the St. Lawrence River Valley. Several other sites also collected Parsivel data during WINTRE-MIX 2022.
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This dataset contains raw data from an OTT Parsivel laser disdrometer that was temporarily installed at the Université du Québec à Trois-Rivières (UQTR) campus from December 2021 to April 2022 to support the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multi-Scale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX). The instrument provides histograms of hydrometeor size and fallspeed. The site sits in the St. Lawrence River Valley. Several other sites also collected Parsivel data during WINTRE-MIX.
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Manual hydrometeor macro photographs were collected during the Winter Precipitation Type Research Multi-Scale Experiment (WINTRE-MIX) between 01 Feb – 15 March 2022. The macro photographs were collected by manual ground observation teams from the University at Albany (UAlbany), University of Colorado Boulder (CU), Université du Québec à Montréal (UQAM), and McGill University (McGill). Sections in the readme provide information on the camera setup, protocol, and dataset file formats, as well as limitations associated with the data.
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Abstract Freezing rain and ice pellets are particularly difficult to forecast when solid precipitation is completely melted aloft. This study addresses this issue by investigating the processes that led to a long-duration ice pellet event in Montreal, Québec, Canada, on 11–12 January 2020. To do so, a benchmark model initialized with ERA5 data is used to show that solid precipitation was completely melted below the melting layer, which discards partial melting from the possible ice pellet formation processes. Macro photography of precipitation reveals that small columnar crystals (∼200 μ m) and ice pellets occurred simultaneously for more than 10 h. The estimation of ice crystal number concentration using macro photographs and laser-optical disdrometer data suggests that all supercooled drops could have refrozen by contact freezing with ice crystals. Rimed ice pellets also indicate ice supersaturation in the subfreezing layer. Given these observations, the formation of ice pellets and ice crystals was probably promoted by secondary ice production and the horizontal advection of ice crystals below the melting layer, as we illustrate using a conceptual model. Overall, these findings demonstrate how ice nucleation processes at temperatures near 0°C can drastically change the precipitation phase and the impact of a storm. Significance Statement Ice pellets are generally formed when snow particles partially melt while falling through a warm layer aloft before completely refreezing in a cold layer closer to the surface. Ice pellets can also be formed when snow particles completely melt aloft, but freezing rain is often produced in such conditions. On 11–12 January 2020, ice pellets were produced during more than 10 h in Montreal, Quebec, Canada. Macro photographs of the precipitation particles show that ice pellets occurred simultaneously with small ice crystals. Most of the ice pellets were produced while snow particles were completely melted aloft. The supercooled drops probably refroze due to collisions with the ice crystals that could have been advected by the northeasterly winds near the surface.