Bibliographie complète
Climate effects of a hypothetical regional nuclear war: Sensitivity to emission duration and particle composition
Type de ressource
Auteurs/contributeurs
- Pausata, Francesco S. R. (Auteur)
- Lindvall, Jenny (Auteur)
- Ekman, Annica M. L. (Auteur)
- Svensson, Gunilla (Auteur)
Titre
Climate effects of a hypothetical regional nuclear war: Sensitivity to emission duration and particle composition
Résumé
Abstract
Here, we use a coupled atmospheric‐ocean‐aerosol model to investigate the plume development and climate effects of the smoke generated by fires following a regional nuclear war between emerging third‐world nuclear powers. We simulate a standard scenario where 5 Tg of black carbon (
BC
) is emitted over 1 day in the upper troposphere–lower stratosphere. However, it is likely that the emissions from the fires ignited by bomb detonations include a substantial amount of particulate organic matter (
POM
) and that they last more than 1 day. We therefore test the sensitivity of the aerosol plume and climate system to the
BC
/
POM
ratio (1:3, 1:9) and to the emission length (1 day, 1 week, 1 month). We find that in general, an emission length of 1 month substantially reduces the cooling compared to the 1‐day case, whereas taking into account
POM
emissions notably increases the cooling and the reduction of precipitation associated with the nuclear war during the first year following the detonation. Accounting for
POM
emissions increases the particle size in the short‐emission‐length scenarios (1 day/1 week), reducing the residence time of the injected particle. While the initial cooling is more intense when including
POM
emission, the long‐lasting effects, while still large, may be less extreme compared to the
BC
‐only case. Our study highlights that the emission altitude reached by the plume is sensitive to both the particle type emitted by the fires and the emission duration. Consequently, the climate effects of a nuclear war are strongly dependent on these parameters.
,
Key Points
Importance of including
OC
when simulating nuclear wars
Importance of the fire emission length when simulating nuclear wars
Publication
Earth's Future
Volume
4
Numéro
11
Pages
498-511
Date
11/2016
Abrév. de revue
Earth's Future
Langue
en
ISSN
2328-4277, 2328-4277
Titre abrégé
Climate effects of a hypothetical regional nuclear war
Consulté le
07/11/2024 19:23
Catalogue de bibl.
DOI.org (Crossref)
Autorisations
Référence
Pausata, F. S. R., Lindvall, J., Ekman, A. M. L., & Svensson, G. (2016). Climate effects of a hypothetical regional nuclear war: Sensitivity to emission duration and particle composition. Earth’s Future, 4(11), 498–511. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000415
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